Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. (AD) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $2.40BP/E 3.7Yield 82.88%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid19 of 30 checks passed
Array Digital Infrastructure passes 19 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 5/6
- Growth
- 4/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 71.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $27.75 is below our fair value estimate of $95.85.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 19.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 17.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 33.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 1.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
High debt
Debt is 50.4% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 26.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -66.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation5/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Array Digital Infrastructure's P/E of 3.7 is below its own 5-year median of 24.6.
P/E below the industry
Array Digital Infrastructure's P/E of 3.7 is below the Telephone Communications median of 13.3.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Array Digital Infrastructure's EV/EBITDA of 4.7 is below its 5-year median of 6.4.
P/B above the industry
Array Digital Infrastructure's price-to-book of 1.80 is above the Telephone Communications median of 1.76.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $27.75 is below our fair value estimate of $95.85.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 71.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth4/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -66.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 17.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 3961% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -26.6% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 71.1% over the last twelve months; the Telephone Communications median is 5.5%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (2026 Estimated Results Total operating revenues, Aug 7, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 58.6% over the last twelve months, against 40.3% a year earlier.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 33.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 1.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 19.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Array Digital Infrastructure's return on equity of 33.3% is above the Telephone Communications median of 8.4%.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 26.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 292% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 10.1%.
Net margin above the industry
Array Digital Infrastructure's net margin of 292% is above the Telephone Communications median of 6.5%.
Financial health3/6
High debt
Debt is 50.4% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 56.5% five years ago to 50.4%.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -58.9% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 13.8 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.11 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.23; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Array Digital Infrastructure paid dividends worth 76.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield above Treasuries
The 76.6% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Array Digital Infrastructure yields 76.6%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$95.85
The share price is 71% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 19.0× | 24.6× | 13.3× | $141.33 | 44% |
| EV/EBITDA | 6.9× | 6.4× | 7.3× | $43.24 | 39% |
| Earnings power | 7.4% cost of equity | – | – | $97.32 | 17% |
| Fair value | $95.85 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 24.6
- Telephone Communications median 13.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $8.77M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $6.97M
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 30.6%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 44%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -1.01
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.46
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +58.3% | -66.1% | -47.4% | -27.4% | |
| Gross profit | +178.8% | – | – | -30.1% | |
| Net income | – | +17.6% | -26.6% | -14.8% | |
| EPS, diluted | – | +17.0% | -26.6% | -15.0% | |
| Free cash flow | -79.9% | -8.9% | -6.9% | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 1.3% | 5.3% | 1.4% | |
| Return on assets | 0.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | |
| Current ratio | 2.17 | 3.01 | 0.72 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.45 | 0.56 | 0.26 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.59× | 1.43× | -10.50× | |
| Interest coverage | 0.4× | 1.5× | -3.3× | |
| Inventory turnover | 7.5× | – | – | |
| Capex to revenue | 11.1% | 24.5% | 16.7% | |
| Diluted shares | 85M | 87M | 87M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Array Digital Infrastructure generated $3.58B from operations and spent $1.56B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 90% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 29.9% | 0.02× | 2.12× | 1.4% |
| FY2024 | -38.3% | 0.01× | 2.30× | -0.9% |
| FY2023 | 54.2% | 0.01× | 2.38× | 1.2% |
| FY2022 | 0.7% | 0.39× | 2.36× | 0.7% |
| FY2021 | 3.8% | 0.41× | 2.24× | 3.5% |
| FY2020 | 5.7% | 0.45× | 2.07× | 5.3% |
| FY2019 | 3.2% | 0.52× | 1.87× | 3.1% |
| FY2018 | 3.8% | 0.56× | 1.83× | 3.9% |
| FY2017 | 0.3% | 0.56× | 1.91× | 0.3% |
| FY2016 | 1.2% | 0.56× | 1.97× | 1.3% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$48.76M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$200.84M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year-0.4% → 0.5%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$200.84M vs $48.76M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell11.5% → 14.3%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.52 → 0.72
- No dilutionShare count did not rise86M → 87M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year29.08% → 51.22%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.01 → 0.02
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