Western Digital Corp (WDC) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $116.49BP/E 12.1Yield 0.16%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Strong23 of 30 checks passed
Western Digital passes 23 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 4/6
- Growth
- 4/6
- Past performance
- 6/6
- Financial health
- 6/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 29.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $289.20 is below our fair value estimate of $412.16.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 132% over the last twelve months and averaged 29.6% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 62.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
What to watch
Guidance lowered
Western Digital lowered its fiscal second quarter of 2027 Interest and other expense, net outlook on Oct 22, 2026.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 8 fiscal years.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Western Digital's EV/EBITDA of 17.7 is above its 5-year median of 15.7.
P/B above the industry
Western Digital's price-to-book of 11.58 is above the Computer and Office Equipment median of 3.71.
Valuation4/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Western Digital's P/E of 11.2 is below its own 5-year median of 14.3.
P/E below the industry
Western Digital's P/E of 11.2 is below the Computer and Office Equipment median of 26.0.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Western Digital's EV/EBITDA of 17.7 is above its 5-year median of 15.7.
P/B above the industry
Western Digital's price-to-book of 11.58 is above the Computer and Office Equipment median of 3.71.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $289.20 is below our fair value estimate of $412.16.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 29.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth4/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 27.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 289% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 62.9% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 43.0% over the last twelve months; the Computer and Office Equipment median is 11.2%.
Guidance lowered
Western Digital lowered its fiscal second quarter of 2027 Interest and other expense, net outlook on Oct 22, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 52.6% over the last twelve months, against 40.6% a year earlier.
Past performance6/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 132% over the last twelve months and averaged 29.6% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 62.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Western Digital's return on equity of 132% is above the Computer and Office Equipment median of 7.5%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 62.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 69.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 12.3%.
Net margin above the industry
Western Digital's net margin of 69.2% is above the Computer and Office Equipment median of 3.8%.
Financial health6/6
Low debt
Debt is 8.4% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 80.8% five years ago to 8.4%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 616% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 48.8 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.43 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 16.68; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Western Digital paid dividends worth 0.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Western Digital yields 0.2%.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 8 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 2.0% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 4.6% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$412.16
The share price is 30% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 20.1× | 14.3× | 26.0× | $517.70 | 53% |
| EV/EBITDA | 17.8× | 15.7× | 19.9× | $291.53 | 47% |
| Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others | 14.4% cost of equity | – | – | $24.98 | – |
| Fair value | $412.16 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 14.3
- Computer and Office Equipment median 26.0
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $3.54B
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $871.28M
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 29.2%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 83%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.88
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.91
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +35.7% | +27.4% | -5.3% | -0.1% | |
| Gross profit | +70.9% | +65.5% | +6.9% | +6.3% | |
| Operating income | +90.8% | – | +29.6% | +25.3% | |
| Net income | +398.9% | – | +62.9% | +44.2% | |
| EPS, diluted | +374.2% | – | +55.6% | +37.6% | |
| Free cash flow | +174.5% | – | +36.1% | +9.6% | |
| Dividend per share | +400.0% | – | – | -12.9% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 3.5% | 8.1% | 133.0% | |
| Return on assets | 1.3% | 3.2% | 67.6% | |
| Current ratio | 2.55 | 2.00 | 1.33 | |
| Debt to equity | 1.15 | 0.81 | 0.12 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.67× | 2.20× | -0.11× | |
| Interest coverage | 2.3× | 3.7× | 27.0× | |
| Inventory turnover | 5.8× | 3.7× | 4.7× | |
| Capex to revenue | 3.0% | 6.8% | 3.2% | |
| Diluted shares | 296M | 309M | 383M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
Western Digital generated $8.20B from operations and spent $6.22B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 52% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 72.9% | 0.93× | 1.97× | 133.0% |
| FY2025 | 19.8% | 0.50× | 2.37× | 23.4% |
| FY2024 | -12.6% | 0.26× | 2.24× | -7.3% |
| FY2023 | -26.9% | 0.25× | 2.18× | -14.5% |
| FY2022 | 8.2% | 0.72× | 2.27× | 13.4% |
| FY2021 | 4.9% | 0.65× | 2.55× | 8.1% |
| FY2020 | -1.5% | 0.64× | 2.67× | -2.6% |
| FY2019 | -4.6% | 0.60× | 2.59× | -7.0% |
| FY2018 | 3.3% | 0.70× | 2.58× | 5.9% |
| FY2017 | 2.1% | 0.61× | 2.78× | 3.5% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zero$9.42B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$3.93B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year7.8% → 67.3%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$3.93B vs $9.42B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell17.7% → 0.0%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.08 → 1.33
- No dilutionShare count did not rise359M → 383M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year38.78% → 48.85%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.39 → 0.92
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