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VirTra, Inc (VTSI) stock analysis

VTSINasdaqMiscellaneous Manufacturing IndustriesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 12, 2026Score 3/3035% above fair value
$4.24+1.62 (+61.83%)

Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $48.00MP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth0Performance0Health2Dividend0

Weak3 of 30 checks passed

VirTra passes 3 of the 30 checks behind our score; 13 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Low debt

    Debt is 23.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • P/B below the industry

    VirTra's price-to-book of 1.04 is below the Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries median of 1.73.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 4.05 times current liabilities.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 34.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $4.24 is above our fair value estimate of $3.15.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -0.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 8.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -2.0%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    VirTra's EV/EBITDA of 28.1 is above its 5-year median of 15.4.

  • P/B below the industry

    VirTra's price-to-book of 1.04 is below the Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries median of 1.73.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $4.24 is above our fair value estimate of $3.15.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 34.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth0/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -81.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -51.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -235% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -29.4% a year.

  • Growth against the industry

    Needs revenue for this year and last.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -0.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 8.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -2.0%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    VirTra's return on equity of -0.5% is below the Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries median of 4.4%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 29.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin against its history

    Needs five years of revenue and net income.

  • Net margin against the industry

    Needs revenue and net income.

Financial health2/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 23.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 9.1% five years ago to 23.8%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 0.2% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 4.05 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.04; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    VirTra has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$3.15

The share price is 35% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$4.24Price$3.15Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA12.7×15.4×9.9×$2.2758%
P/B1.7×1.6×1.7×$6.8517%
Earnings power9.7% cost of equity––$2.7225%
Fair value$3.15100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 21.6
  • Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries median 18.7

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

High risk

Average value traded per day
$1.74M
Value traded per 1% price move
$25.43K

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
26.7%
Volatility (annualized)
78%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.22
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.92

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2015 to 2025

Gross margin

8174.7%+8112.4 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

235.2%+228.8 pts over 5 years

Net margin

139.0%+131.2 pts over 5 years

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