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Vulcan Materials CO (VMC) stock analysis

VMCNYSEMining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)Fiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 29, 2026Score 15/3034% above fair value
$284.37−2.94 (-1.02%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $36.50BP/E 33.7Yield 0.69%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth1Performance4Health4Dividend4

Solid15 of 30 checks passed

Vulcan Materials passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 13.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 23.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 7.2 times.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 32.3% of total debt.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 34.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $284.37 is above our fair value estimate of $212.07.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 12.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 9.8%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Vulcan Materials's P/E of 33.7 is below its own 5-year median of 37.4.

  • P/E above the industry

    Vulcan Materials's P/E of 33.7 is above the Mining & quarrying of nonmetallic minerals (no fuels) median of 25.1.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Vulcan Materials's EV/EBITDA of 17.6 is below its 5-year median of 18.4.

  • P/B above the industry

    Vulcan Materials's price-to-book of 4.34 is above the Mining & quarrying of nonmetallic minerals (no fuels) median of 1.80.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $284.37 is above our fair value estimate of $212.07.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 34.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 2.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 23.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -1.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 13.0% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 1.6% over the last twelve months; the Mining & quarrying of nonmetallic minerals (no fuels) median is 8.3%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Vulcan Materials lowered its 2026 Interest expense outlook on Feb 17, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 27.5% over the last twelve months, against 28.2% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 12.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 9.8%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Vulcan Materials's return on equity of 12.9% is above the Mining & quarrying of nonmetallic minerals (no fuels) median of 4.8%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 13.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 13.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.6%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Vulcan Materials's net margin of 13.8% is above the Mining & quarrying of nonmetallic minerals (no fuels) median of 4.2%.

Financial health4/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 55.7% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 54.5% five years ago to 55.7%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 32.3% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 7.2 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.43 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.95; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Vulcan Materials paid dividends worth 0.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.5% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Vulcan Materials yields 0.5%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 24.2% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 34.1% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$212.07

The share price is 34% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$284.37Price$212.07Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E31.3×37.4×25.1×$264.6040%
EV/EBITDA13.6×18.4×8.7×$211.9835%
P/B3.0×4.1×1.8×$195.4310%
Earnings power8.9% cost of equity––$83.3215%
Fair value$212.07100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 37.4
  • Mining & quarrying of nonmetallic minerals (no fuels) median 25.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$349.03M
Value traded per 1% price move
$234.62M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
16.6%
Volatility (annualized)
30%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.24
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.81

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

27.4%+1.0 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

20.4%+2.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

13.6%+1.5 pts over 5 years

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