StockData
Vericel Corp logo

Vericel Corp (VCEL) stock analysis

VCELNasdaqBiological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)Fiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 5, 2026Score 16/30254% above fair value
$59.45+0.42 (+0.71%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $3.04BP/E 100.8Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth5Performance5Health6Dividend0

Solid16 of 30 checks passed

Vericel passes 16 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
5/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • No debt

    Vericel has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 42.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 18.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 254% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $59.45 is above our fair value estimate of $16.78.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 9.4% over the last twelve months and averaged -1.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • P/E above the industry

    Vericel's P/E of 100.8 is above the Drugs median of 25.1.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E above the industry

    Vericel's P/E of 100.8 is above the Drugs median of 25.1.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B above the industry

    Vericel's price-to-book of 7.92 is above the Drugs median of 2.29.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $59.45 is above our fair value estimate of $16.78.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 254% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth5/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 18.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 155% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 42.0% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 25.3% over the last twelve months; the Drugs median is 8.0%.

  • Guidance raised

    Vericel raised its 2026 Total revenue outlook on Jul 30, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 74.5% over the last twelve months, against 73.8% a year earlier.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 9.4% over the last twelve months and averaged -1.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Vericel's return on equity of 9.4% is above the Drugs median of -58.9%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 42.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 10.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -1.2%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Vericel's net margin of 10.3% is above the Drugs median of -53.0%.

Financial health6/6
  • No debt

    Vericel has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 42.0 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 5.13 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 14.07; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Vericel has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$16.78

The share price is 254% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$59.45Price$16.78Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E25.1×–25.1×$14.8040%
EV/EBITDA17.1×–17.1×$16.8635%
P/B5.0×7.7×2.3×$37.6110%
Earnings power10.1% cost of equity––$7.9815%
Fair value$16.78100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Drugs median 25.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$36.45M
Value traded per 1% price move
$12.79M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
15.3%
Volatility (annualized)
45%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.07
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.04

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2010 to 2025

Gross margin

74.4%+6.6 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

4.0%+2.1 pts over 5 years

Net margin

6.0%+3.7 pts over 5 years

See a number that looks wrong?