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Ternium S.A. (TX) stock analysis

TXNYSESteel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)Fiscal year ends December 31
Financials through fiscal 2025, year ended Dec 31, 2025Last filing: 20-F on Mar 31, 2026Score 4/30
$51.54+0.43 (+0.84%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $10.33BP/E 23.4Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth0Performance0Health4Dividend0

Weak4 of 30 checks passed

Ternium passes 4 of the 30 checks behind our score; 14 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Low debt

    Debt is 20.3% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 95.6% of total debt.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 23.6% five years ago to 20.3%.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.49 times current liabilities.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 3.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 13.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 2.8%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 11.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -1.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation0/6

  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B against the industry

    Needs positive book value.

  • Price against fair value

    We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.

  • Margin of safety

    Depends on the fair value estimate.

Growth0/6

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -1.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -37.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -11.6% over the last twelve months; the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median is 9.8%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 15.1% over the last twelve months, against 16.4% a year earlier.

Past performance0/6

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 3.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 13.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 2.8%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Ternium's return on equity of 3.6% is below the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median of 3.6%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 11.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 2.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.2%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Ternium's net margin of 2.7% is below the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median of 4.0%.

Financial health4/6

  • Low debt

    Debt is 20.3% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 23.6% five years ago to 20.3%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 95.6% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 3.3 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.49 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)

    Needs market value, working capital and retained earnings.

Dividend0/6

  • No dividend

    Ternium has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Fair value

How we estimate it

We don't publish a fair value for Ternium. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$30.12M
Value traded per 1% price move
$18.97M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
14.9%
Volatility (annualized)
32%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.23
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.86

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2014 to 2025

Gross margin

15.1%−3.6 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

4.5%−7.8 pts over 5 years

Net margin

2.7%−6.2 pts over 5 years

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