TechPrecision Corp (TPCS) stock analysis
Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $50.60MP/E –Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works
Weak5 of 30 checks passed
TechPrecision passes 5 of the 30 checks behind our score; 11 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 1/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $5.01 is below our fair value estimate of $5.07.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 25.9% of total debt.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
TechPrecision's EV/EBITDA of 25.8 is below its 5-year median of 46.3.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 16.0% over the last twelve months, against 15.3% a year earlier.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 1.1% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was -15.4% over the last twelve months and averaged -25.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was -3.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
High debt
Debt is 63.9% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Valuation2/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
TechPrecision's EV/EBITDA of 25.8 is below its 5-year median of 46.3.
P/B above the industry
TechPrecision's price-to-book of 6.65 is above the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median of 2.66.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $5.01 is below our fair value estimate of $5.07.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 1.1% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 0.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -0.2% over the last twelve months; the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median is 9.7%.
Guidance unchanged
The latest outlook (FY 2027 Revenue, Aug 13, 2026) was maintained, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 16.0% over the last twelve months, against 15.3% a year earlier.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was -15.4% over the last twelve months and averaged -25.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was -3.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
TechPrecision's return on equity of -15.4% is below the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median of 0.9%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was -3.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -8.1%.
Net margin below the industry
TechPrecision's net margin of -3.7% is below the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median of 0.8%.
Financial health1/6
High debt
Debt is 63.9% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 38.4% five years ago to 63.9%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 25.9% of total debt.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense -1.4 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.00 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.75; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
TechPrecision has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$5.07
The share price is 1% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 29.4× | 46.3× | 12.5× | $5.79 | 78% |
| P/B | 3.3× | 4.0× | 2.7× | $2.52 | 22% |
| Fair value | $5.07 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median 21.9
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
High risk
- Average value traded per day
- $136.21K
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $55.78K
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 22.2%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 56%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.22
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.40
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -7.0% | +0.2% | +15.2% | +6.5% | |
| Gross profit | +14.9% | +0.5% | +7.5% | -1.0% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | 3.3% | -20.3% | |
| Return on assets | – | 2.1% | -5.1% | |
| Current ratio | 2.90 | 2.10 | 0.98 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.70 | 0.38 | – | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 0.71× | 1.27× | – | |
| Interest coverage | 4.5× | 3.1× | -2.2× | |
| Inventory turnover | – | – | – | |
| Capex to revenue | 4.2% | 3.5% | 10.3% | |
| Diluted shares | 7M | 8M | 10M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
TechPrecision generated $4.73M from operations and spent $13.88M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 100% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | -5.3% | 0.96× | 4.01× | -20.3% |
| FY2025 | -8.1% | 1.00× | 4.13× | -33.2% |
| FY2024 | -22.3% | 0.89× | 3.17× | -62.9% |
| FY2023 | -3.1% | 0.85× | 2.48× | -6.6% |
| FY2022 | -1.6% | 0.83× | 2.14× | -2.8% |
| FY2021 | 2.1% | 1.02× | 1.58× | 3.3% |
| FY2019 | 6.6% | 1.10× | 1.71× | 12.4% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zero-$1.66M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$6.00K
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year-7.9% → -5.0%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$6.00K vs -$1.66M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell0.0% → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.91 → 0.98
- No dilutionShare count did not rise9M → 10M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year12.72% → 15.72%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.98 → 0.94
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