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T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) stock analysis

TMUSNasdaqRadiotelephone CommunicationsFiscal year ends December 31Also trades as TMUSI, TMUSL, TMUSZ
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 28, 2026Score 17/3018% below fair value
$169.95−1.08 (-0.63%)

Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $180.02BP/E 16.4Yield 2.24%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth3Performance5Health3Dividend3

Solid17 of 30 checks passed

T-Mobile US passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $169.95 is below our fair value estimate of $208.29.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 24.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 11.3% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 29.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 18.4% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 19.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 3.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -4.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 29.1% a year.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    T-Mobile US's P/E of 16.4 is below its own 5-year median of 25.7.

  • P/E above the industry

    T-Mobile US's P/E of 16.4 is above the Telephone Communications median of 13.1.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    T-Mobile US's EV/EBITDA of 5.3 is below its 5-year median of 8.8.

  • P/B above the industry

    T-Mobile US's price-to-book of 3.20 is above the Telephone Communications median of 1.75.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $169.95 is below our fair value estimate of $208.29.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 18.4% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 3.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 67.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -4.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 29.1% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 9.3% over the last twelve months; the Telephone Communications median is 5.5%.

  • Guidance raised

    T-Mobile US raised its 2026 Net cash provided by operating activities outlook on Jul 23, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 19.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 24.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    T-Mobile US's return on equity of 19.4% is above the Telephone Communications median of 8.4%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 29.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 12.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.8%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    T-Mobile US's net margin of 12.0% is above the Telephone Communications median of 6.5%.

Financial health3/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 11.3% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 109% five years ago to 11.3%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 453% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.91 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.59; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    T-Mobile US paid dividends worth 2.4% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.4% yield is below the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; T-Mobile US yields 2.4%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 39.3% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 23.8% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$208.29

The share price is 18% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$169.95Price$208.29Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E19.4×25.7×13.1×$201.4040%
EV/EBITDA8.1×8.8×7.3×$257.2435%
P/B2.4×3.0×1.7×$127.2110%
Earnings power7.6% cost of equity––$166.4715%
Fair value$208.29100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 25.7
  • Telephone Communications median 13.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$1.04B
Value traded per 1% price move
$551.57M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
13.6%
Volatility (annualized)
35%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.71
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.49

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

20.7%+11.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

12.4%+8.0 pts over 5 years

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