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Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (TMO) stock analysis

TMONYSEMeasuring & Controlling Devices, NECFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 26, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 30, 2026Score 10/3035% above fair value
$717.71−0.49 (-0.07%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $265.92BP/E 37.9Yield 0.24%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth0Performance2Health4Dividend4

Mixed10 of 30 checks passed

Thermo Fisher Scientific passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 5.5 times.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 22.5% of total debt.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.24; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 8.9% of free cash flow.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 35.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $717.71 is above our fair value estimate of $531.79.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 8.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • High debt

    Debt is 75.5% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Thermo Fisher Scientific's P/E of 37.9 is above its own 5-year median of 31.7.

  • P/E above the industry

    Thermo Fisher Scientific's P/E of 37.9 is above the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of 36.5.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Thermo Fisher Scientific's EV/EBITDA of 35.6 is above its 5-year median of 30.7.

  • P/B above the industry

    Thermo Fisher Scientific's price-to-book of 4.86 is above the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of 3.17.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $717.71 is above our fair value estimate of $531.79.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 35.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth0/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -0.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 0.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 8.3% over the last twelve months; the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median is 8.4%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 8.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Thermo Fisher Scientific's return on equity of 13.4% is above the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of 1.1%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin against its history

    Needs five years of revenue and net income.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Thermo Fisher Scientific's net margin of 14.9% is above the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of -1.3%.

Financial health4/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 75.5% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 63.0% five years ago to 75.5%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 22.5% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 5.5 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.81 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.24; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Thermo Fisher Scientific paid dividends worth 0.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Thermo Fisher Scientific yields 0.3%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 9.5% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 8.9% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$531.79

The share price is 35% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$717.71Price$531.79Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E34.1×31.7×36.5×$645.8840%
EV/EBITDA27.2×30.7×23.7×$527.0135%
P/B3.9×4.7×3.2×$582.4710%
Earnings power9.0% cost of equity––$204.9215%
Fair value$531.79100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 31.7
  • Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median 36.5

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$1.56B
Value traded per 1% price move
$1.01B

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
18.0%
Volatility (annualized)
30%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.67
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.82

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

17.4%−6.8 pts over 5 years

Net margin

15.0%

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