Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (TMO) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $265.92BP/E 37.9Yield 0.24%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed10 of 30 checks passed
Thermo Fisher Scientific passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 2/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 5.5 times.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 22.5% of total debt.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 4.24; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 8.9% of free cash flow.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 35.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $717.71 is above our fair value estimate of $531.79.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 8.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
High debt
Debt is 75.5% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Valuation0/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Thermo Fisher Scientific's P/E of 37.9 is above its own 5-year median of 31.7.
P/E above the industry
Thermo Fisher Scientific's P/E of 37.9 is above the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of 36.5.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Thermo Fisher Scientific's EV/EBITDA of 35.6 is above its 5-year median of 30.7.
P/B above the industry
Thermo Fisher Scientific's price-to-book of 4.86 is above the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of 3.17.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $717.71 is above our fair value estimate of $531.79.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 35.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -0.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 0.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 8.3% over the last twelve months; the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median is 8.4%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance2/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 8.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Thermo Fisher Scientific's return on equity of 13.4% is above the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of 1.1%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin against its history
Needs five years of revenue and net income.
Net margin above the industry
Thermo Fisher Scientific's net margin of 14.9% is above the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of -1.3%.
Financial health4/6
High debt
Debt is 75.5% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 63.0% five years ago to 75.5%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 22.5% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 5.5 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.81 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 4.24; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
Thermo Fisher Scientific paid dividends worth 0.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Thermo Fisher Scientific yields 0.3%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 9.5% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 8.9% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$531.79
The share price is 35% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 34.1× | 31.7× | 36.5× | $645.88 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 27.2× | 30.7× | 23.7× | $527.01 | 35% |
| P/B | 3.9× | 4.7× | 3.2× | $582.47 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 9.0% cost of equity | – | – | $204.92 | 15% |
| Fair value | $531.79 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 31.7
- Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median 36.5
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $1.56B
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $1.01B
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 18.0%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 30%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.67
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.82
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +3.9% | -0.3% | +6.7% | +10.1% | |
| Operating income | +5.6% | -2.6% | -0.1% | +12.7% | |
| Net income | +5.8% | – | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | +7.3% | +0.2% | +2.1% | +13.7% | |
| Free cash flow | -13.4% | -3.1% | -1.6% | +9.6% | |
| Dividend per share | +10.3% | +12.7% | +14.3% | +11.1% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | – | 13.0% | |
| Return on assets | – | – | 6.5% | |
| Current ratio | 1.44 | 2.13 | 1.89 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.77 | 0.63 | 0.74 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 3.75× | – | – | |
| Interest coverage | 5.2× | 14.1× | 5.5× | |
| Inventory turnover | 3.9× | – | – | |
| Capex to revenue | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | |
| Diluted shares | 397M | 399M | 378M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Thermo Fisher Scientific generated $43.36B from operations and spent $26.76B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 34% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 15.0% | 0.43× | 2.02× | 13.0% |
| FY2024 | 14.8% | 0.44× | 2.04× | 13.2% |
| FY2023 | 14.0% | 0.44× | 2.16× | 13.2% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$6.70B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$7.82B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year6.4% → 6.9%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$7.82B vs $6.70B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell29.9% → 32.5%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.66 → 1.89
- No dilutionShare count did not rise383M → 378M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.43 → 0.46
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