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Safe Pro Group Inc. (SPAI) stock analysis

SPAINasdaqServices-Prepackaged SoftwareFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 14, 2026Score 5/3018% above fair value
$2.81−0.23 (-7.57%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $57.22MP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth2Performance0Health3Dividend0

Weak5 of 30 checks passed

Safe Pro passes 5 of the 30 checks behind our score; 16 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Low debt

    Debt is 1.2% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 17.83; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 92.6% over the last twelve months; the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median is 9.6%.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 62.2% over the last twelve months, against 46.2% a year earlier.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 17.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $3.04 is above our fair value estimate of $2.59.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -617%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense -1176.3 times; we look for at least 5.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B above the industry

    Safe Pro's price-to-book of 5.17 is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.32.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $3.04 is above our fair value estimate of $2.59.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 17.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growth over 3 years

    Needs three years of positive revenue.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 92.6% over the last twelve months; the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median is 9.6%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 62.2% over the last twelve months, against 46.2% a year earlier.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -617%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Safe Pro's return on equity of -198% is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -1.2%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin against its history

    Needs five years of revenue and net income.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Safe Pro's net margin of -500% is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -4.8%.

Financial health3/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 1.2% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -5676% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense -1176.3 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 8.76 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 17.83; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Safe Pro has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$2.59

The share price is 18% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$3.04Price$2.59Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/B5.7×11.2×3.3×$3.3450%
P/S12.9×36.7×2.8×$1.8350%
Fair value$2.59100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/B at month end
  • Own 5-year median 11.2
  • Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median 3.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

High risk

Average value traded per day
$1.39M
Value traded per 1% price move
$124.81K

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
35.7%
Volatility (annualized)
102%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.45
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
3.34

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2022 to 2025

Gross margin

33.3%

Operating margin

-2397.6%

Net margin

-2360.8%

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