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Smith Midland Corp (SMID) stock analysis

SMIDNasdaqConcrete Products, Except Block & BrickFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 14, 2026Score 17/3029% below fair value
$20.40−0.46 (-2.21%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $108.21MP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth2Performance5Health6Dividend0

Solid17 of 30 checks passed

Smith Midland passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 28.9% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $20.86 is below our fair value estimate of $29.34.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 16.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 6.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 14.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 15.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -35.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 36.2% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -1.6% over the last twelve months; the Materials median is 2.3%.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 23.5% over the last twelve months, against 28.3% a year earlier.

Valuation4/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Smith Midland's EV/EBITDA of 7.2 is below its 5-year median of 13.2.

  • P/B below the industry

    Smith Midland's price-to-book of 1.94 is below the Materials median of 2.43.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $20.86 is below our fair value estimate of $29.34.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 28.9% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 23.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 151% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -35.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 36.2% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -1.6% over the last twelve months; the Materials median is 2.3%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 23.5% over the last twelve months, against 28.3% a year earlier.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 14.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 15.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 16.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Smith Midland's return on equity of 14.5% is above the Materials median of 5.1%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 36.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 8.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.2%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Smith Midland's net margin of 8.6% is above the Materials median of 2.8%.

Financial health6/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 6.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 17.7% five years ago to 6.1%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 419% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 48.9 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 4.06 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.96; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Smith Midland has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$29.34

The share price is 29% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$20.86Price$29.34Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA12.7×13.2×12.3×$35.8858%
P/B3.1×3.7×2.4×$33.0517%
Earnings power10.4% cost of equity––$11.5925%
Fair value$29.34100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 37.6
  • Materials median 21.9

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

High risk

Average value traded per day
$317.65K
Value traded per 1% price move
$161.83K

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
19.3%
Volatility (annualized)
54%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.93
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.11

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

27.9%+2.7 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

18.2%+9.6 pts over 5 years

Net margin

13.4%+7.3 pts over 5 years

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