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Southern Copper Corp (SCCO) stock analysis

SCCONYSEMetal MiningFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 30, 2026Score 12/309% above fair value
$168.21−4.40 (-2.55%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $142.03BP/E 21.9Yield 1.84%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth4Performance1Health4Dividend2

Mixed12 of 30 checks passed

Southern Copper passes 12 of the 30 checks behind our score; 9 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
4/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
2/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 49.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 10.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 15.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 92.6% of total debt.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 9.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $172.61 is above our fair value estimate of $158.29.

  • High debt

    Debt is 59.2% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • P/E above the industry

    Southern Copper's P/E of 22.5 is above the Materials median of 21.9.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Southern Copper's P/E of 22.5 is below its own 5-year median of 22.8.

  • P/E above the industry

    Southern Copper's P/E of 22.5 is above the Materials median of 21.9.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Southern Copper's EV/EBITDA of 13.3 is above its 5-year median of 12.5.

  • P/B above the industry

    Southern Copper's price-to-book of 10.78 is above the Materials median of 2.40.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $172.61 is above our fair value estimate of $158.29.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 9.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth4/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 10.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 15.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 38.7% over the last twelve months; the Materials median is 11.1%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 65.2% over the last twelve months, against 58.7% a year earlier.

Past performance1/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 49.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin against its history

    Needs five years of revenue and net income.

  • Net margin against the industry

    Needs revenue and net income.

Financial health4/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 59.2% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 90.6% five years ago to 59.2%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 92.6% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 4.31 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 9.87; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend2/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Southern Copper paid dividends worth 2.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Southern Copper yields 2.3%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 58.8% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$158.29

The share price is 9% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$172.61Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E22.4×22.8×21.9×$171.8247%
EV/EBITDA12.6×12.5×12.8×$163.7341%
P/B5.3×8.2×2.4×$85.1012%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others10.4% cost of equity––$38.61–
Fair value$158.29100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 22.8
  • Materials median 21.9

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$222.18M
Value traded per 1% price move
$106.83M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
22.3%
Volatility (annualized)
53%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.37
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.11

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

60.1%+9.3 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

52.2%+13.1 pts over 5 years

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