Southern Copper Corp (SCCO) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $142.03BP/E 21.9Yield 1.84%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed12 of 30 checks passed
Southern Copper passes 12 of the 30 checks behind our score; 9 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 4/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 2/6
What stands out
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 49.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 10.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 15.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 92.6% of total debt.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 9.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $172.61 is above our fair value estimate of $158.29.
High debt
Debt is 59.2% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
P/E above the industry
Southern Copper's P/E of 22.5 is above the Materials median of 21.9.
Valuation1/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Southern Copper's P/E of 22.5 is below its own 5-year median of 22.8.
P/E above the industry
Southern Copper's P/E of 22.5 is above the Materials median of 21.9.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Southern Copper's EV/EBITDA of 13.3 is above its 5-year median of 12.5.
P/B above the industry
Southern Copper's price-to-book of 10.78 is above the Materials median of 2.40.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $172.61 is above our fair value estimate of $158.29.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 9.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth4/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 10.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 15.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 38.7% over the last twelve months; the Materials median is 11.1%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 65.2% over the last twelve months, against 58.7% a year earlier.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 49.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin against its history
Needs five years of revenue and net income.
Net margin against the industry
Needs revenue and net income.
Financial health4/6
High debt
Debt is 59.2% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 90.6% five years ago to 59.2%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 92.6% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 4.31 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 9.87; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend2/6
Pays a dividend
Southern Copper paid dividends worth 2.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 2.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Southern Copper yields 2.3%.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 58.8% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$158.29
The share price is 9% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 22.4× | 22.8× | 21.9× | $171.82 | 47% |
| EV/EBITDA | 12.6× | 12.5× | 12.8× | $163.73 | 41% |
| P/B | 5.3× | 8.2× | 2.4× | $85.10 | 12% |
| Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others | 10.4% cost of equity | – | – | $38.61 | – |
| Fair value | $158.29 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 22.8
- Materials median 21.9
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $222.18M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $106.83M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 22.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 53%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.37
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.11
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +17.4% | +10.1% | +10.9% | +10.3% | |
| Gross profit | +22.3% | +14.3% | +14.7% | +17.5% | |
| Operating income | +26.1% | +16.4% | +17.5% | +17.3% | |
| EPS, diluted | +24.5% | +15.4% | +20.9% | +18.9% | |
| Free cash flow | +1.0% | +22.7% | +9.4% | – | |
| Dividend per share | +47.6% | -4.0% | +15.6% | +24.7% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current ratio | 2.57 | 3.48 | 3.89 | |
| Debt to equity | 1.02 | 0.91 | 0.61 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 2.45× | 1.12× | 0.31× | |
| Inventory turnover | 3.9× | 3.9× | 5.1× | |
| Capex to revenue | 20.8% | 7.4% | 9.9% | |
| Diluted shares | 774M | 773M | 827M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Southern Copper generated $19.84B from operations and spent $17.60B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 30% of that went back into the business.
DuPont needs revenue, assets and equity
This company does not report all three for consecutive years.
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero–
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$4.75B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year– → –
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$4.75B vs –
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell30.8% → 31.6%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose2.75 → 3.89
- No dilutionShare count did not rise803M → 827M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year57.66% → 60.07%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.68 → 0.72
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