Sinclair, Inc. (SBGI) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $1.08BP/E 10.9Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed11 of 30 checks passed
Sinclair passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 3/6
- Financial health
- 1/6
- Dividend
- 5/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $15.00 is below our fair value estimate of $16.55.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 25.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 87.0% over five years.
P/E below the industry
Sinclair's P/E of 10.9 is below the Communications median of 14.4.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 27.5% of free cash flow.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 9.4% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 7.6%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
High debt
Debt is 984% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -6.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation2/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Sinclair's P/E of 10.9 is above its own 5-year median of 7.0.
P/E below the industry
Sinclair's P/E of 10.9 is below the Communications median of 14.4.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Sinclair's EV/EBITDA of 7.9 is above its 5-year median of 7.5.
P/B above the industry
Sinclair's price-to-book of 2.65 is above the Communications median of 1.59.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $15.00 is below our fair value estimate of $16.55.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 9.4% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -6.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 1.2% over the last twelve months; the Communications median is 1.2%.
Guidance lowered
Sinclair lowered its twelve months ending December 31, 2026 Political Advertising Revenue outlook on Aug 5, 2026.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance3/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 25.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 87.0% over five years.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 7.6%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Sinclair's return on equity of 25.4% is above the Communications median of 5.2%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 2.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.3%.
Net margin above the industry
Sinclair's net margin of 2.8% is above the Communications median of -4.4%.
Financial health1/6
High debt
Debt is 984% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 8.3% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 0.9 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.97 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.01; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend5/6
Pays a dividend
Sinclair paid dividends worth 6.7% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield above Treasuries
The 6.7% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Sinclair yields 6.7%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 75.0% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 27.5% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$16.55
The share price is 9% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 11.6× | 7.0× | 14.4× | $16.02 | 44% |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.5× | 7.5× | 9.1× | $18.89 | 39% |
| Earnings power | 10.0% cost of equity | – | – | $12.50 | 17% |
| Fair value | $16.55 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 7.0
- Communications median 14.4
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $9.17M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $3.70M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 16.8%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 44%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.30
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.03
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2020 to 2025
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -10.7% | -6.9% | – | – | |
| Operating income | -68.6% | -64.8% | – | – | |
| Free cash flow | +721.4% | -45.1% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
6 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2020 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | – | -21.8% | |
| Return on assets | – | – | -1.9% | |
| Current ratio | – | – | 2.42 | |
| Debt to equity | – | – | 9.89 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | – | 8.33× | |
| Interest coverage | – | – | 0.4× | |
| Capex to revenue | – | – | 2.3% | |
| Diluted shares | – | – | 69M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Sinclair generated $1.65B from operations and spent $1.10B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 40% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | -3.5% | 0.54× | 11.53× | -21.8% |
| FY2024 | 8.7% | 0.59× | 13.79× | 71.4% |
| FY2023 | -9.3% | 0.49× | 12.38× | -56.3% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero-$112.00M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$189.00M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year5.1% → -1.9%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$189.00M vs -$112.00M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell69.5% → 73.3%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose2.45 → 2.42
- No dilutionShare count did not rise66M → 69M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.58 → 0.54
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