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Qualcomm Inc (QCOM) stock analysis

QCOMNasdaqRadio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications EquipmentFiscal year ends September 27
Financials through Q4 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 27, 2026Last filing: 10-K on Nov 4, 2026Score 14/309% below fair value
$176.57+3.04 (+1.75%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $185.40BP/E 13.9Yield 2.05%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth2Performance3Health4Dividend2

Mixed14 of 30 checks passed

Qualcomm passes 14 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
2/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $176.57 is below our fair value estimate of $193.43.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 8.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 25.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 146% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.5% a year.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 8.7% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 6.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Guidance lowered

    Qualcomm lowered its Q4 FY26 QTL revenues outlook on Jul 29, 2026.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Qualcomm's EV/EBITDA of 18.7 is above its 5-year median of 12.6.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Qualcomm's P/E of 13.9 is below its own 5-year median of 17.7.

  • P/E below the industry

    Qualcomm's P/E of 13.9 is below the Communications Equipment median of 24.9.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Qualcomm's EV/EBITDA of 18.7 is above its 5-year median of 12.6.

  • P/S above the industry

    Qualcomm's price-to-sales of 4.30 is above the Communications Equipment median of 3.04 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $176.57 is below our fair value estimate of $193.43.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 8.7% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 6.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 25.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 146% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.5% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -2.6% over the last twelve months; the Communications Equipment median is 10.9%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Qualcomm lowered its Q4 FY26 QTL revenues outlook on Jul 29, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 53.1% over the last twelve months, against 55.4% a year earlier.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 8.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 31.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 23.9%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Qualcomm's net margin of 31.6% is above the Communications Equipment median of -2.2%.

Financial health4/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 73.7% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 12.6 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.86 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 5.67; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend2/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Qualcomm paid dividends worth 2.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Qualcomm yields 2.1%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$193.43

The share price is 9% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$176.57Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E21.3×17.7×24.9×$269.9544%
EV/EBITDA16.3×12.6×20.0×$152.5039%
Earnings power12.5% cost of equity––$84.8617%
Fair value$193.43100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 17.7
  • Communications Equipment median 24.9

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$2.17B
Value traded per 1% price move
$1.06B

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
23.8%
Volatility (annualized)
55%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.03
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.53

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

53.1%−4.4 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

20.1%−9.1 pts over 5 years

Net margin

31.6%+4.7 pts over 5 years

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