Douglas Dynamics, Inc (PLOW) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $873.01MP/E 17.2Yield 3.12%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid21 of 30 checks passed
Douglas Dynamics passes 21 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 4/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 5/6
- Financial health
- 5/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $37.83 is below our fair value estimate of $41.79.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 18.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 16.4% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 17.9%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Low debt
Debt is 21.5% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 9.5% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 6.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.
P/B above the industry
Douglas Dynamics's price-to-book of 2.91 is above the Construction, Mining, and Materials Handling median of 1.38.
Valuation4/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Douglas Dynamics's P/E of 17.2 is below its own 5-year median of 21.7.
P/E below the industry
Douglas Dynamics's P/E of 17.2 is below the Construction, Mining, and Materials Handling median of 29.1.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Douglas Dynamics's EV/EBITDA of 9.9 is below its 5-year median of 10.2.
P/B above the industry
Douglas Dynamics's price-to-book of 2.91 is above the Construction, Mining, and Materials Handling median of 1.38.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $37.83 is below our fair value estimate of $41.79.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 9.5% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 6.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 20.1% over the last twelve months; the Construction, Mining, and Materials Handling median is 10.4%.
Guidance raised
Douglas Dynamics raised its 2026 Net Sales outlook on Aug 3, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 27.3% over the last twelve months, against 26.6% a year earlier.
Past performance5/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 18.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 16.4% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 17.9%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Douglas Dynamics's return on equity of 18.3% is above the Construction, Mining, and Materials Handling median of 4.5%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 7.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 6.6%.
Net margin above the industry
Douglas Dynamics's net margin of 7.5% is above the Construction, Mining, and Materials Handling median of 2.6%.
Financial health5/6
Low debt
Debt is 21.5% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 119% five years ago to 21.5%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 96.6% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.16 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.10; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
Douglas Dynamics paid dividends worth 3.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 3.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Douglas Dynamics yields 3.1%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 53.7% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 57.4% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$41.79
The share price is 9% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 25.4× | 21.7× | 29.1× | $55.80 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.6× | 10.2× | 11.1× | $40.72 | 35% |
| P/B | 2.2× | 3.0× | 1.4× | $28.29 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 9.1% cost of equity | – | – | $15.92 | 15% |
| Fair value | $41.79 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 21.7
- Construction, Mining, and Materials Handling median 29.1
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $7.17M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $6.86M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 13.9%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 36%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.47
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.84
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +15.4% | +2.1% | +6.4% | +5.1% | |
| Gross profit | +19.0% | +4.9% | +6.4% | +2.8% | |
| Operating income | -17.0% | +7.8% | – | -0.5% | |
| Net income | -16.5% | +6.7% | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | -16.9% | +6.3% | – | +0.1% | |
| Free cash flow | +91.4% | +32.2% | +10.5% | +3.2% | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | +0.6% | +1.0% | +2.9% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | -33.7% | 17.2% | |
| Return on assets | – | -13.5% | 7.7% | |
| Current ratio | 3.43 | 3.28 | 2.78 | |
| Debt to equity | 1.40 | 1.19 | – | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 3.36× | -3.56× | – | |
| Interest coverage | – | -123.0× | – | |
| Inventory turnover | 4.6× | 4.5× | 3.4× | |
| Capex to revenue | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | |
| Diluted shares | 22.48B | 23M | 24M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Douglas Dynamics generated $228.86M from operations and spent $201.04M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 26% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 7.1% | 1.08× | 2.23× | 17.2% |
| FY2024 | 9.9% | 0.96× | 2.39× | 22.7% |
| FY2023 | 4.2% | 0.95× | 2.54× | 10.1% |
| FY2022 | 6.3% | 1.05× | 2.59× | 17.1% |
| FY2021 | 5.7% | 0.94× | 2.78× | 14.8% |
| FY2020 | -18.0% | 0.75× | 2.50× | -33.7% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$46.90M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$74.69M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year9.5% → 7.9%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$74.69M vs $46.90M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose3.39 → 2.78
- No dilutionShare count did not rise24M → 24M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year25.83% → 26.63%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.96 → 1.11
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