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Douglas Dynamics, Inc (PLOW) stock analysis

PLOWNYSEConstruction Machinery & EquipFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 3, 2026Score 21/309% below fair value
$37.83+0.50 (+1.34%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $873.01MP/E 17.2Yield 3.12%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth3Performance5Health5Dividend4

Solid21 of 30 checks passed

Douglas Dynamics passes 21 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $37.83 is below our fair value estimate of $41.79.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 18.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 16.4% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 17.9%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 21.5% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 9.5% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 6.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • P/B above the industry

    Douglas Dynamics's price-to-book of 2.91 is above the Construction, Mining, and Materials Handling median of 1.38.

Valuation4/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Douglas Dynamics's P/E of 17.2 is below its own 5-year median of 21.7.

  • P/E below the industry

    Douglas Dynamics's P/E of 17.2 is below the Construction, Mining, and Materials Handling median of 29.1.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Douglas Dynamics's EV/EBITDA of 9.9 is below its 5-year median of 10.2.

  • P/B above the industry

    Douglas Dynamics's price-to-book of 2.91 is above the Construction, Mining, and Materials Handling median of 1.38.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $37.83 is below our fair value estimate of $41.79.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 9.5% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 6.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 20.1% over the last twelve months; the Construction, Mining, and Materials Handling median is 10.4%.

  • Guidance raised

    Douglas Dynamics raised its 2026 Net Sales outlook on Aug 3, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 27.3% over the last twelve months, against 26.6% a year earlier.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 18.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 16.4% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 17.9%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Douglas Dynamics's return on equity of 18.3% is above the Construction, Mining, and Materials Handling median of 4.5%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 7.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 6.6%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Douglas Dynamics's net margin of 7.5% is above the Construction, Mining, and Materials Handling median of 2.6%.

Financial health5/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 21.5% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 119% five years ago to 21.5%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 96.6% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.16 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.10; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Douglas Dynamics paid dividends worth 3.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 3.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Douglas Dynamics yields 3.1%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 53.7% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 57.4% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$41.79

The share price is 9% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$37.83Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E25.4×21.7×29.1×$55.8040%
EV/EBITDA10.6×10.2×11.1×$40.7235%
P/B2.2×3.0×1.4×$28.2910%
Earnings power9.1% cost of equity––$15.9215%
Fair value$41.79100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 21.7
  • Construction, Mining, and Materials Handling median 29.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$7.17M
Value traded per 1% price move
$6.86M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
13.9%
Volatility (annualized)
36%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.47
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.84

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

26.6%−0.1 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

11.2%+26.9 pts over 5 years

Net margin

7.1%+25.2 pts over 5 years

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