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Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG) stock analysis

PENGNasdaqSemiconductors & Related DevicesFiscal year ends August 29
Financials through Q4 FY2026, quarter ended Aug 28, 2026Last filing: 10-K on Oct 20, 2026Score 14/3038% below fair value
$50.10+0.85 (+1.73%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $3.02BP/E 19.3Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth3Performance5Health1Dividend0

Mixed14 of 30 checks passed

Penguin Solutions passes 14 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
1/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 38.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $49.25 is below our fair value estimate of $79.73.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 31.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 53.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 39.5% over the last twelve months and averaged -3.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • High debt

    Debt is 152% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 6.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -19.3% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Penguin Solutions's P/E of 18.9 is below its own 5-year median of 36.9.

  • P/E below the industry

    Penguin Solutions's P/E of 18.9 is below the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 34.8.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Penguin Solutions's EV/EBITDA of 14.5 is below its 5-year median of 15.9.

  • P/B above the industry

    Penguin Solutions's price-to-book of 5.70 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.49.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $49.25 is below our fair value estimate of $79.73.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 38.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 6.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 611% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 53.3% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 26.5% over the last twelve months; the Electronic Components and Accessories median is 17.3%.

  • Guidance raised

    Penguin Solutions raised its fiscal year 2026 Diluted earnings per share outlook on Jul 7, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 27.7% over the last twelve months, against 28.8% a year earlier.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 39.5% over the last twelve months and averaged -3.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 31.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Penguin Solutions's return on equity of 39.5% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 4.8%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 53.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 10.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -0.1%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Penguin Solutions's net margin of 10.4% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 2.9%.

Financial health1/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 152% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 118% five years ago to 152%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -19.3% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.88 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.26; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Penguin Solutions has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$79.73

The share price is 38% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$49.25Price$79.73Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E35.9×36.9×34.8×$93.3253%
EV/EBITDA18.6×15.9×21.3×$64.2047%
Fair value$79.73100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 36.9
  • Electronic Components and Accessories median 34.8

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$283.18M
Value traded per 1% price move
$24.42M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
36.3%
Volatility (annualized)
93%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.23
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
2.13

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2014 to 2026

Gross margin

27.7%+5.1 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

9.6%+11.1 pts over 5 years

Net margin

10.4%+8.4 pts over 5 years

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