StockData
Pegasystems Inc logo

Pegasystems Inc (PEGA) stock analysis

PEGANasdaqServices-Computer Processing & Data PreparationFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 20, 2026Score 20/3025% below fair value
$32.04+0.65 (+2.07%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $5.24BP/E 19.9Yield 0.33%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 12, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth1Performance4Health6Dividend4

Solid20 of 30 checks passed

Pegasystems passes 20 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 25.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $32.04 is below our fair value estimate of $42.69.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 71.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • No debt

    Pegasystems has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 51.4% over the last twelve months and averaged -6.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 9.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • P/B above the industry

    Pegasystems's price-to-book of 9.55 is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.20.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 0.9% over the last twelve months; the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median is 9.6%.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Pegasystems's P/E of 19.9 is below its own 5-year median of 50.1.

  • P/E below the industry

    Pegasystems's P/E of 19.9 is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 27.3.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Pegasystems's EV/EBITDA of 26.4 is below its 5-year median of 32.8.

  • P/B above the industry

    Pegasystems's price-to-book of 9.55 is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.20.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $32.04 is below our fair value estimate of $42.69.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 25.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 9.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 0.9% over the last twelve months; the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median is 9.6%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (2026 Revenue, Feb 10, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 75.9% over the last twelve months, against 75.7% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 51.4% over the last twelve months and averaged -6.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 71.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Pegasystems's return on equity of 51.4% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -1.1%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 16.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 0.5%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Pegasystems's net margin of 16.9% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -4.7%.

Financial health6/6
  • No debt

    Pegasystems has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 650.4 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.04 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 6.33; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Pegasystems paid dividends worth 0.4% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.4% yield is below the 4.6% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.9% or more; Pegasystems yields 0.4%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 6.9% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 4.6% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$42.69

The share price is 25% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$32.04Price$42.69Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E38.7×50.1×27.3×$62.3844%
EV/EBITDA25.6×32.8×18.5×$31.1239%
Earnings power12.2% cost of equity––$17.2017%
Fair value$42.69100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 50.1
  • Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median 27.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$97.84M
Value traded per 1% price move
$40.74M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
30.0%
Volatility (annualized)
51%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-1.00
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.44

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

75.9%+6.4 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

15.1%+29.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

22.5%+28.6 pts over 5 years

See a number that looks wrong?