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PEDEVCO Corp (PED) stock analysis

PEDNYSECrude Petroleum & Natural GasFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 13, 2026Score 6/3024% below fair value
$13.62+0.28 (+2.10%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $181.02MP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth2Performance0Health0Dividend0

Weak6 of 30 checks passed

Pedevco passes 6 of the 30 checks behind our score; 15 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
0/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 24.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $13.62 is below our fair value estimate of $17.93.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 15.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Pedevco's EV/EBITDA of 3.4 is below its 5-year median of 4.6.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -10.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 1.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 8.8%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 3.0 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.61; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Valuation4/6

  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Pedevco's EV/EBITDA of 3.4 is below its 5-year median of 4.6.

  • P/B below the industry

    Pedevco's price-to-book of 0.90 is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 1.33.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $13.62 is below our fair value estimate of $17.93.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 24.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 15.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 229% over the last twelve months; the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median is 8.7%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (full-year Boe per day, May 14, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance0/6

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -10.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 1.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 8.8%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Pedevco's return on equity of -10.8% is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 5.5%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was -14.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.0%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Pedevco's net margin of -14.6% is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 3.8%.

Financial health0/6

  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt coverage

    Needs operating cash flow.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 3.0 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.78 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.61; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6

  • No dividend

    Pedevco has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Fair value

How we estimate it

Our estimate per share

$17.93

The share price is 24% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$13.62Price$17.93Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA4.9×4.6×5.3×$19.3158%
P/B1.1×0.8×1.3×$16.0917%
Earnings power7.4% cost of equity––$15.9625%
Fair value$17.93100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 12.4
  • Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median 10.4

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

High risk

Average value traded per day
$291.11K
Value traded per 1% price move
$83.77K

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
21.4%
Volatility (annualized)
82%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.13
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.46

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Operating margin

-17.2%+402.5 pts over 5 years

Net margin

-22.6%+383.0 pts over 5 years

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