Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $15.96BP/E 72.8Yield 8.39%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak8 of 30 checks passed
Blue Owl Capital passes 8 of the 30 checks behind our score; 12 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 0/6
- Dividend
- 5/6
What stands out
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 34.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
P/E below its 5-year median
Blue Owl Capital's P/E of 72.8 is below its own 5-year median of 140.5.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 40.9% of free cash flow.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 7 fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 74.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $10.19 is above our fair value estimate of $5.84.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 4.5% over the last twelve months and averaged -6.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.27; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Valuation1/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Blue Owl Capital's P/E of 72.8 is below its own 5-year median of 140.5.
P/E above the industry
Blue Owl Capital's P/E of 72.8 is above the Services Allied with the Exchange of Securities median of 21.0.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B above the industry
Blue Owl Capital's price-to-book of 8.30 is above the Services Allied with the Exchange of Securities median of 3.70.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $10.19 is above our fair value estimate of $5.84.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 74.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 34.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 8.1% over the last twelve months; the Services Allied with the Exchange of Securities median is 8.7%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 4.5% over the last twelve months and averaged -6.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Blue Owl Capital's return on equity of 4.5% is below the Services Allied with the Exchange of Securities median of 15.7%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 7.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -0.2%.
Net margin below the industry
Blue Owl Capital's net margin of 7.7% is below the Services Allied with the Exchange of Securities median of 16.3%.
Financial health0/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt coverage
Needs operating cash flow.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term liquidity
The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.27; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend5/6
Pays a dividend
Blue Owl Capital paid dividends worth 6.7% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield above Treasuries
The 6.7% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Blue Owl Capital yields 6.7%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 7 fiscal years.
Not covered by earnings
Dividends take 650% of net income, leaving little room.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 40.9% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$5.84
The share price is 74% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 45.0× | 140.5× | 21.0× | $6.30 | 62% |
| P/B | 4.5× | 5.8× | 3.7× | $5.53 | 15% |
| Earnings power | 13.3% cost of equity | – | – | $4.83 | 23% |
| Fair value | $5.84 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 141
- Services Allied with the Exchange of Securities median 21.0
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $201.01M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $93.46M
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 28.4%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 47%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.77
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.68
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2018 to 2025
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +7.6% | +34.4% | +17.8% | – | |
| Net income | -28.1% | – | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | -50.0% | – | – | – | |
| Free cash flow | +28.1% | +21.8% | +204.4% | – | |
| Dividend per share | +25.7% | +25.7% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
8 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2018 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | – | 3.6% | |
| Return on assets | – | – | 0.7% | |
| Capex to revenue | – | 0.3% | 10.2% | |
| Diluted shares | – | – | 662M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Blue Owl Capital generated $4.21B from operations and spent $1.79B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 15% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 13.9% | 0.05× | 5.41× | 3.6% |
| FY2024 | 20.8% | 0.05× | 5.42× | 6.0% |
| FY2023 | 14.0% | 0.04× | 5.65× | 3.5% |
| FY2022 | -4.0% | 0.03× | 5.25× | -0.6% |
| FY2021 | -45.7% | 0.20× | 5.03× | -45.1% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$78.83M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$1.26B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year1.2% → 0.7%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$1.26B vs $78.83M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise558M → 662M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.06 → 0.05
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