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Orion S.A. (OEC) stock analysis

OECNYSEMiscellaneous Chemical ProductsFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 8/3085% below fair value
$3.99−0.19 (-4.55%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $225.53MP/E –Yield 2.01%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth0Performance0Health2Dividend2

Weak8 of 30 checks passed

Orion passes 8 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
2/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 84.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $3.99 is below our fair value estimate of $26.22.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 10.8% of free cash flow.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Orion's EV/EBITDA of 5.4 is below its 5-year median of 7.0.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -8.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 19.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 2.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • High debt

    Debt is 248% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -3.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation4/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Orion's EV/EBITDA of 5.4 is below its 5-year median of 7.0.

  • P/B below the industry

    Orion's price-to-book of 0.57 is below the Chemicals and Allied Products median of 2.24.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $3.99 is below our fair value estimate of $26.22.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 84.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth0/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -3.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 0.9% over the last twelve months; the Chemicals and Allied Products median is 11.0%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Orion lowered its full year free cash flow outlook on Aug 5, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 18.5% over the last twelve months, against 20.3% a year earlier.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -8.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 19.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 2.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Orion's return on equity of -8.1% is below the Chemicals and Allied Products median of 7.4%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was -1.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.6%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Orion's net margin of -1.8% is below the Chemicals and Allied Products median of 5.6%.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 248% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 408% five years ago to 248%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 16.8% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.06 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.44; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend2/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Orion paid dividends worth 1.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Orion yields 1.6%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 10.8% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$26.22

The share price is 85% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$3.99Price$26.22Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA12.9×7.0×18.8×$32.3458%
P/B2.4×2.5×2.2×$16.6317%
Earnings power10.2% cost of equity––$18.3425%
Fair value$26.22100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 12.9
  • Chemicals and Allied Products median 25.2

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$2.42M
Value traded per 1% price move
$1.13M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
31.3%
Volatility (annualized)
69%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.32
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.06

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2015 to 2025

Gross margin

19.9%−5.8 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

1.5%−5.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

-3.9%−5.5 pts over 5 years

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