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NerdWallet, Inc. (NRDS) stock analysis

NRDSNasdaqServices-Computer Processing & Data PreparationFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 5, 2026Score 16/3067% below fair value
$7.31−0.39 (-5.06%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $467.28MP/E 9.4Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth3Performance5Health3Dividend0

Solid16 of 30 checks passed

NerdWallet passes 16 of the 30 checks behind our score; 10 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 66.6% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $7.70 is below our fair value estimate of $23.04.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 19.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 55.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 14.4% over the last twelve months and averaged -2.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -26.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 55.8% a year.

  • Guidance lowered

    NerdWallet lowered its 2026 annual GAAP operating income outlook on Aug 6, 2026.

  • No dividend

    NerdWallet has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E below the industry

    NerdWallet's P/E of 9.9 is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 27.6.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    NerdWallet's EV/EBITDA of 3.8 is below its 5-year median of 15.8.

  • P/B below the industry

    NerdWallet's price-to-book of 1.44 is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.32.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $7.70 is below our fair value estimate of $23.04.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 66.6% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 15.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -26.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 55.8% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 11.3% over the last twelve months; the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median is 9.6%.

  • Guidance lowered

    NerdWallet lowered its 2026 annual GAAP operating income outlook on Aug 6, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 93.8% over the last twelve months, against 91.6% a year earlier.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 14.4% over the last twelve months and averaged -2.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 19.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    NerdWallet's return on equity of 14.4% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -1.2%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 55.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 6.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -1.0%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    NerdWallet's net margin of 6.1% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -4.8%.

Financial health3/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt coverage

    Needs operating cash flow.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 121.7 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.74 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 5.17; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    NerdWallet has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$23.04

The share price is 67% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$7.70Price$23.04Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E27.6×–27.6×$21.5140%
EV/EBITDA17.4×15.8×18.8×$31.4435%
P/B2.9×2.4×3.3×$15.3510%
Earnings power11.3% cost of equity––$12.6315%
Fair value$23.04100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median 27.6

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$9.05M
Value traded per 1% price move
$3.45M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
27.5%
Volatility (annualized)
57%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.89
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.28

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2018 to 2025

Gross margin

92.4%+1.1 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

7.8%+7.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

5.8%+3.7 pts over 5 years

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