Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $2.04BP/E 15.4Yield 1.06%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid17 of 30 checks passed
Newmark passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 6/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 1/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 37.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $11.27 is below our fair value estimate of $17.94.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 10.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 2.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 10.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 26.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
High debt
Debt is 60.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 6.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.49; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Valuation6/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Newmark's P/E of 15.4 is below its own 5-year median of 25.1.
P/E below the industry
Newmark's P/E of 15.4 is below the Real Estate median of 23.6.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Newmark's EV/EBITDA of 6.5 is below its 5-year median of 8.9.
P/B below the industry
Newmark's price-to-book of 1.40 is below the Real Estate median of 1.70.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $11.27 is below our fair value estimate of $17.94.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 37.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 6.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 14.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 18.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.9% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 17.5% over the last twelve months; the Real Estate median is 8.9%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (FY 2026 Total Revenues (millions), Oct 29, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 10.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 26.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 10.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Newmark's return on equity of 10.7% is above the Real Estate median of -3.3%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 2.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 4.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.5%.
Net margin above the industry
Newmark's net margin of 4.1% is above the Real Estate median of -1.4%.
Financial health3/6
High debt
Debt is 60.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 104% five years ago to 60.1%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 50.5% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.09 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.49; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend1/6
Pays a dividend
Newmark paid dividends worth 1.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Newmark yields 1.6%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$17.94
The share price is 37% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 24.3× | 25.1× | 23.6× | $17.76 | 47% |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.9× | 8.9× | 8.8× | $18.99 | 41% |
| P/B | 1.9× | 2.0× | 1.7× | $15.00 | 12% |
| Fair value | $17.94 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 25.1
- Real Estate median 23.6
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $26.11M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $11.73M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 18.8%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 42%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.92
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.30
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2016 to 2025
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +20.3% | +6.8% | +11.6% | – | |
| Operating income | +43.5% | +8.0% | +4.9% | – | |
| Net income | +47.6% | +3.9% | +2.9% | – | |
| EPS, diluted | +100.0% | +14.8% | +11.8% | – | |
| Free cash flow | – | -49.9% | – | – | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | +6.3% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | 17.4% | 9.5% | |
| Return on assets | – | 3.0% | 2.6% | |
| Current ratio | – | 1.07 | 1.05 | |
| Debt to equity | – | 1.04 | 0.46 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | 1.30× | 1.07× | |
| Capex to revenue | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | |
| Diluted shares | – | 180M | 253M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Newmark generated $1.69B from operations and spent $1.16B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 17% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 3.8% | 0.68× | 3.65× | 9.5% |
| FY2024 | 3.1% | 0.60× | 3.73× | 7.0% |
| FY2023 | 2.5% | 0.59× | 3.46× | 5.1% |
| FY2022 | 4.2% | 0.59× | 3.72× | 9.2% |
| FY2021 | 33.7% | 0.63× | 4.76× | 101.2% |
| FY2020 | 5.7% | 0.53× | 5.73× | 17.4% |
| FY2019 | 5.3% | 0.67× | 5.70× | 20.1% |
| FY2018 | 5.2% | 0.72× | 6.92× | 25.8% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$126.19M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$172.00M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year1.9% → 2.7%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$172.00M vs $126.19M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell14.2% → 13.4%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.00 → 1.05
- No dilutionShare count did not rise178M → 253M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.61 → 0.70
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