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Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK) stock analysis

NMRKNasdaqReal Estate Agents & Managers (For Others)Fiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 6, 2026Score 17/3037% below fair value
$11.27−0.05 (-0.44%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $2.04BP/E 15.4Yield 1.06%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value6Growth3Performance4Health3Dividend1

Solid17 of 30 checks passed

Newmark passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
6/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
1/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 37.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $11.27 is below our fair value estimate of $17.94.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 2.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 10.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 26.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • High debt

    Debt is 60.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 6.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.49; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Valuation6/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Newmark's P/E of 15.4 is below its own 5-year median of 25.1.

  • P/E below the industry

    Newmark's P/E of 15.4 is below the Real Estate median of 23.6.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Newmark's EV/EBITDA of 6.5 is below its 5-year median of 8.9.

  • P/B below the industry

    Newmark's price-to-book of 1.40 is below the Real Estate median of 1.70.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $11.27 is below our fair value estimate of $17.94.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 37.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 6.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 14.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 18.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.9% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 17.5% over the last twelve months; the Real Estate median is 8.9%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (FY 2026 Total Revenues (millions), Oct 29, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 10.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 26.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Newmark's return on equity of 10.7% is above the Real Estate median of -3.3%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 2.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 4.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.5%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Newmark's net margin of 4.1% is above the Real Estate median of -1.4%.

Financial health3/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 60.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 104% five years ago to 60.1%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 50.5% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.09 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.49; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend1/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Newmark paid dividends worth 1.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Newmark yields 1.6%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$17.94

The share price is 37% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$11.27Price$17.94Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E24.3×25.1×23.6×$17.7647%
EV/EBITDA8.9×8.9×8.8×$18.9941%
P/B1.9×2.0×1.7×$15.0012%
Fair value$17.94100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 25.1
  • Real Estate median 23.6

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$26.11M
Value traded per 1% price move
$11.73M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
18.8%
Volatility (annualized)
42%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.92
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.30

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2016 to 2025

Operating margin

7.1%−2.6 pts over 5 years

Net margin

3.8%−1.9 pts over 5 years

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