StockData
Morgan Stanley logo

Morgan Stanley (MS) stock analysis

MSNYSESecurity Brokers, Dealers & Flotation CompaniesFiscal year ends December 31Also trades as MS.PA, MS.PE, MS.PF, MS.PI, MS.PK, MS.PL, MS.PO, MS.PP, MS.PQ
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 5, 2026Score 17/301% below fair value
$190.61+3.05 (+1.63%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $299.37BP/E 15.1Yield 2.02%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth2Performance4Health4Dividend3

Solid17 of 30 checks passed

Morgan Stanley passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $190.61 is below our fair value estimate of $193.06.

  • No debt

    Morgan Stanley has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 8.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 18.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 1.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 18.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 12.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 9.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.27; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Valuation4/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Morgan Stanley's P/E of 15.1 is below its own 5-year median of 15.6.

  • P/E below the industry

    Morgan Stanley's P/E of 15.1 is below the Security Brokers, Dealers, and Flotation median of 15.7.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B below the industry

    Morgan Stanley's price-to-book of 2.56 is below the Security Brokers, Dealers, and Flotation median of 3.12.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $190.61 is below our fair value estimate of $193.06.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 1.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 9.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 18.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 26.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.9% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 16.2% over the last twelve months; the Security Brokers, Dealers, and Flotation median is 16.2%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 18.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 12.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Morgan Stanley's return on equity of 18.0% is above the Security Brokers, Dealers, and Flotation median of 17.9%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 8.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 25.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 21.6%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Morgan Stanley's net margin of 25.5% is above the Security Brokers, Dealers, and Flotation median of 14.4%.

Financial health4/6
  • No debt

    Morgan Stanley has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term liquidity

    The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.27; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Morgan Stanley paid dividends worth 1.7% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.7% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Morgan Stanley yields 1.7%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 34.1% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$193.06

The share price is 1% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$190.61Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E15.6×15.6×15.7×$197.0080%
P/B2.4×1.6×3.1×$177.3220%
Fair value$193.06100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 15.6
  • Security Brokers, Dealers, and Flotation median 15.7

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$1.22B
Value traded per 1% price move
$849.12M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
12.0%
Volatility (annualized)
29%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.38
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.20

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

23.9%+1.3 pts over 5 years

See a number that looks wrong?