Meridian Holdings Inc./NV (MRDN) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $73.10MP/E –Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak5 of 30 checks passed
Meridian passes 5 of the 30 checks behind our score; 15 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 3/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 0/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 53.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $6.34 is below our fair value estimate of $13.53.
Low debt
Debt is 21.2% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 334% of total debt.
What to watch
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was -108%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense -51.0 times; we look for at least 5.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is -1.39; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 9.3% over the last twelve months; the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median is 9.6%.
Valuation3/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B below the industry
Meridian's price-to-book of 2.19 is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.32.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $6.34 is below our fair value estimate of $13.53.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 53.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth0/6
Revenue growth over 3 years
Needs three years of positive revenue.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 9.3% over the last twelve months; the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median is 9.6%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (second half of 2026 constant currency revenue growth, Jul 29, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 55.3% over the last twelve months, against 56.8% a year earlier.
Past performance0/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was -108%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Meridian's return on equity of -122% is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -1.2%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was -50.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 460%.
Net margin below the industry
Meridian's net margin of -50.0% is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -4.8%.
Financial health2/6
Low debt
Debt is 21.2% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 334% of total debt.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense -51.0 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.78 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is -1.39; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Meridian has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$13.53
The share price is 53% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/B | 3.5× | 3.8× | 3.3× | $10.25 | 40% |
| P/Sleft out, too far from the others | 15.0× | 87.1× | 2.8× | $231.87 | – |
| Earnings power | 7.4% cost of equity | – | – | $15.72 | 60% |
| Fair value | $13.53 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 47.1
- Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median 27.6
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
High risk
- Average value traded per day
- $401.10K
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $168.23K
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 32.2%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 100%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.53
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.48
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2009 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +21.0% | – | – | – | |
| Gross profit | +16.8% | – | – | – | |
| Free cash flow | +14.5% | – | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2012 | FY2016 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 220.4% | 294.1% | -121.3% | |
| Return on assets | -397.2% | -12475.8% | -55.4% | |
| Current ratio | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.59 | |
| Debt to equity | – | – | 0.37 | |
| Interest coverage | -7.1× | -1.1× | -21.0× | |
| Capex to revenue | – | – | 3.4% | |
| Diluted shares | 0M | 0M | 12M |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
Meridian does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | -50.3% | 1.10× | 2.19× | -121.3% |
| FY2019 | 390.9% | 0.24× | -12.42× | -1149.4% |
| FY2017 | 1500.9% | 2.40× | -0.02× | -65.3% |
| FY2016 | -50031.2% | 0.25× | -0.02× | 294.1% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero-$91.98M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$25.36M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year– → -43.0%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$25.36M vs -$91.98M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell6.7% → 5.6%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.71 → 0.59
- No dilutionShare count did not rise9M → 12M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year58.61% → 56.58%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose– → 0.86
See a number that looks wrong?