Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $667.85MP/E 6.2Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak5 of 30 checks passed
Hello passes 5 of the 30 checks behind our score; 18 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 2/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 18.7 times.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 22531% of total debt.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 7.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.1%.
Net margin above the industry
Hello's net margin of 7.8% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -4.8%.
What to watch
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 17.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -6.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -13.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -22.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -17.5% a year.
Valuation0/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B against the industry
Needs positive book value.
Price against fair value
We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.
Margin of safety
Depends on the fair value estimate.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -6.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -13.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -22.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -17.5% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -1.9% over the last twelve months; the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median is 9.6%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (first quarter of 2026 total net revenues, Mar 18, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 37.8% over the last twelve months, against 39.0% a year earlier.
Past performance2/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 17.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 7.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.1%.
Net margin above the industry
Hello's net margin of 7.8% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -4.8%.
Financial health3/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 22531% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 18.7 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 4.68 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)
Needs market value, working capital and retained earnings.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Hello has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itWe don't publish a fair value for Hello. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $3.01M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $2.69M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 14.1%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 29%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -1.35
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.49
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -1.9% | -6.6% | -7.2% | – | |
| Gross profit | -4.7% | -9.5% | -11.1% | – | |
| Operating income | -11.6% | -5.9% | -11.8% | – | |
| Net income | -22.7% | -18.5% | -17.5% | – | |
| EPS, diluted | -14.7% | -13.4% | -13.3% | – | |
| Free cash flow | -49.0% | -15.5% | -25.2% | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on assets | – | 9.2% | 5.0% | |
| Current ratio | – | 4.67 | 4.68 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | – | -3.70× | |
| Interest coverage | – | 32.1× | 18.7× | |
| Capex to revenue | 1.3% | 0.8% | 4.8% | |
| Diluted shares | 407M | 452M | 339M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Hello generated CN¥7.89B from operations and spent CN¥4.94B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 31% of that went back into the business.
DuPont needs revenue, assets and equity
This company does not report all three for consecutive years.
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zeroCN¥804.01M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zeroCN¥1.18B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year6.4% → 4.4%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net incomeCN¥1.18B vs CN¥804.01M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell0.0% → 0.0%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.88 → 4.68
- No dilutionShare count did not rise374M → 339M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year38.96% → 37.82%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.65 → 0.56
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