Mitek Systems Inc (MITK) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $845.59MP/E 39.9Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed14 of 30 checks passed
Mitek Systems passes 14 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 3/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 5/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 18.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Low debt
Debt is 19.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 2.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 33.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 9.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $18.74 is above our fair value estimate of $17.12.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 9.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 3.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 7.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation3/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Mitek Systems's P/E of 39.9 is below its own 5-year median of 55.8.
P/E above the industry
Mitek Systems's P/E of 39.9 is above the Computer and Office Equipment median of 26.0.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Mitek Systems's EV/EBITDA of 21.7 is below its 5-year median of 23.1.
P/B below the industry
Mitek Systems's price-to-book of 3.38 is below the Computer and Office Equipment median of 3.71.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $18.74 is above our fair value estimate of $17.12.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 9.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 7.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 33.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 45.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.4% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 11.1% over the last twelve months; the Computer and Office Equipment median is 11.2%.
Guidance lowered
Mitek Systems lowered its Full Year FY26 Fraud & Identity solutions revenue outlook on Aug 6, 2026.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance5/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 9.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 3.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 18.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Mitek Systems's return on equity of 9.2% is above the Computer and Office Equipment median of 7.5%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 2.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 11.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.1%.
Net margin above the industry
Mitek Systems's net margin of 11.4% is above the Computer and Office Equipment median of 3.8%.
Financial health4/6
Low debt
Debt is 19.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 109% of total debt.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 4.9 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.74 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 5.43; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Mitek Systems has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$17.12
The share price is 9% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 41.0× | 55.8× | 26.0× | $19.28 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 21.5× | 23.1× | 19.9× | $18.59 | 35% |
| P/B | 3.1× | 2.4× | 3.7× | $17.05 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 10.7% cost of equity | – | – | $7.96 | 15% |
| Fair value | $17.12 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 55.8
- Computer and Office Equipment median 26.0
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $9.91M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $3.85M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 12.8%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 58%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.68
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.16
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +4.4% | +7.5% | +12.1% | +21.6% | |
| Operating income | +652.6% | +11.2% | +13.6% | +24.4% | |
| Net income | +168.3% | +33.5% | +2.4% | +13.3% | |
| EPS, diluted | +171.4% | +33.4% | +1.1% | +9.0% | |
| Free cash flow | +79.1% | +39.4% | +18.4% | +24.5% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | |
| Return on assets | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | |
| Current ratio | 4.84 | 3.45 | 1.19 | |
| Interest coverage | – | – | 1.7× | |
| Capex to revenue | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | |
| Diluted shares | 34M | 43M | 47M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Mitek Systems generated $177.07M from operations and spent $50.42M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 12% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 4.9% | 0.41× | 1.92× | 3.9% |
| FY2024 | 1.9% | 0.42× | 1.95× | 1.6% |
| FY2023 | 4.7% | 0.45× | 2.05× | 4.3% |
| FY2022 | 2.6% | 0.37× | 2.16× | 2.0% |
| FY2021 | 6.7% | 0.41× | 1.81× | 4.9% |
| FY2020 | 7.7% | 0.66× | 1.27× | 6.5% |
| FY2019 | -0.9% | 0.64× | 1.30× | -0.7% |
| FY2018 | -18.6% | 0.64× | 1.27× | -15.1% |
| FY2017 | 31.0% | 0.76× | 1.19× | 27.9% |
| FY2016 | 5.6% | 0.80× | 1.25× | 5.6% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$8.80M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$55.34M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year0.8% → 2.1%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$55.34M vs $8.80M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → 0.0%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose4.39 → 1.19
- No dilutionShare count did not rise47M → 47M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.42 → 0.43
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