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Mitek Systems Inc (MITK) stock analysis

MITKNasdaqComputer Peripheral Equipment, NECFiscal year ends September 30
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 6, 2026Score 14/309% above fair value
$18.74+0.21 (+1.13%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $845.59MP/E 39.9Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth2Performance5Health4Dividend0

Mixed14 of 30 checks passed

Mitek Systems passes 14 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 18.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 19.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 2.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 33.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 9.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $18.74 is above our fair value estimate of $17.12.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 9.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 3.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 7.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Mitek Systems's P/E of 39.9 is below its own 5-year median of 55.8.

  • P/E above the industry

    Mitek Systems's P/E of 39.9 is above the Computer and Office Equipment median of 26.0.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Mitek Systems's EV/EBITDA of 21.7 is below its 5-year median of 23.1.

  • P/B below the industry

    Mitek Systems's price-to-book of 3.38 is below the Computer and Office Equipment median of 3.71.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $18.74 is above our fair value estimate of $17.12.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 9.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 7.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 33.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 45.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.4% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 11.1% over the last twelve months; the Computer and Office Equipment median is 11.2%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Mitek Systems lowered its Full Year FY26 Fraud & Identity solutions revenue outlook on Aug 6, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 9.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 3.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 18.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Mitek Systems's return on equity of 9.2% is above the Computer and Office Equipment median of 7.5%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 2.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 11.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.1%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Mitek Systems's net margin of 11.4% is above the Computer and Office Equipment median of 3.8%.

Financial health4/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 19.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 109% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 4.9 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.74 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 5.43; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Mitek Systems has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$17.12

The share price is 9% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$18.74Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E41.0×55.8×26.0×$19.2840%
EV/EBITDA21.5×23.1×19.9×$18.5935%
P/B3.1×2.4×3.7×$17.0510%
Earnings power10.7% cost of equity––$7.9615%
Fair value$17.12100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 55.8
  • Computer and Office Equipment median 26.0

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$9.91M
Value traded per 1% price move
$3.85M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
12.8%
Volatility (annualized)
58%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.68
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.16

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

9.3%+0.6 pts over 5 years

Net margin

4.9%−2.8 pts over 5 years

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