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Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. (MD) stock analysis

MDNYSEServices-HospitalsFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 29, 2026Score 10/307% above fair value
$31.45−0.17 (-0.54%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $2.46BP/E 17.1Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth1Performance4Health3Dividend0

Mixed10 of 30 checks passed

Pediatrix Medical passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 10 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 15.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 34.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 6.4 times.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 39.3% of total debt.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 7.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $31.45 is above our fair value estimate of $29.34.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 17.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 4.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • High debt

    Debt is 68.0% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Pediatrix Medical's P/E of 17.1 is above its own 5-year median of 12.9.

  • P/E below the industry

    Pediatrix Medical's P/E of 17.1 is below the Health Services median of 23.9.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Pediatrix Medical's EV/EBITDA of 11.0 is above its 5-year median of 8.3.

  • P/B below the industry

    Pediatrix Medical's price-to-book of 2.89 is below the Health Services median of 3.52.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $31.45 is above our fair value estimate of $29.34.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 7.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -1.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 34.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 1.9% over the last twelve months; the Health Services median is 4.0%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (full year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA, Oct 29, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 17.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 4.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 15.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Pediatrix Medical's return on equity of 17.2% is above the Health Services median of 4.6%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 7.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.2%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Pediatrix Medical's net margin of 7.7% is above the Health Services median of -2.6%.

Financial health3/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 68.0% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 39.3% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 6.4 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.28 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.47; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Pediatrix Medical has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$29.34

The share price is 7% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$31.45Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E18.4×12.9×23.9×$33.7840%
EV/EBITDA8.4×8.3×8.6×$23.6235%
P/B2.6×1.6×3.5×$27.9110%
Earnings power8.3% cost of equity––$31.7815%
Fair value$29.34100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 12.9
  • Health Services median 23.9

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$21.87M
Value traded per 1% price move
$15.85M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
10.7%
Volatility (annualized)
35%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.00
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.68

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Operating margin

10.9%+5.3 pts over 5 years

Net margin

8.6%+54.6 pts over 5 years

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