Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. (MD) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $2.46BP/E 17.1Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed10 of 30 checks passed
Pediatrix Medical passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 10 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 15.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 34.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 6.4 times.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 39.3% of total debt.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 7.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $31.45 is above our fair value estimate of $29.34.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 17.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 4.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
High debt
Debt is 68.0% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Valuation2/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Pediatrix Medical's P/E of 17.1 is above its own 5-year median of 12.9.
P/E below the industry
Pediatrix Medical's P/E of 17.1 is below the Health Services median of 23.9.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Pediatrix Medical's EV/EBITDA of 11.0 is above its 5-year median of 8.3.
P/B below the industry
Pediatrix Medical's price-to-book of 2.89 is below the Health Services median of 3.52.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $31.45 is above our fair value estimate of $29.34.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 7.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -1.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 34.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 1.9% over the last twelve months; the Health Services median is 4.0%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (full year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA, Oct 29, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 17.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 4.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 15.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Pediatrix Medical's return on equity of 17.2% is above the Health Services median of 4.6%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 7.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.2%.
Net margin above the industry
Pediatrix Medical's net margin of 7.7% is above the Health Services median of -2.6%.
Financial health3/6
High debt
Debt is 68.0% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 39.3% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 6.4 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.28 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.47; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Pediatrix Medical has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$29.34
The share price is 7% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 18.4× | 12.9× | 23.9× | $33.78 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.4× | 8.3× | 8.6× | $23.62 | 35% |
| P/B | 2.6× | 1.6× | 3.5× | $27.91 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 8.3% cost of equity | – | – | $31.78 | 15% |
| Fair value | $29.34 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 12.9
- Health Services median 23.9
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $21.87M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $15.85M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 10.7%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 35%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.00
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.68
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -4.9% | -1.0% | +2.0% | – | |
| Operating income | – | +6.5% | +16.3% | -9.4% | |
| Net income | – | +35.6% | – | -6.9% | |
| EPS, diluted | – | +34.9% | – | -5.9% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 12.5% | -70.9% | 20.3% | |
| Return on assets | 6.6% | -21.3% | 7.5% | |
| Current ratio | 1.31 | 3.49 | 1.66 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.62 | – | 0.69 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 2.49× | – | 0.96× | |
| Interest coverage | 9.1× | 0.9× | 5.8× | |
| Diluted shares | 93M | 83M | 85M |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
Pediatrix Medical does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 8.6% | 0.87× | 2.70× | 20.3% |
| FY2024 | -4.9% | 0.92× | 2.71× | -12.3% |
| FY2023 | -3.0% | 0.87× | 2.62× | -6.9% |
| FY2022 | 3.4% | 0.78× | 2.84× | 7.4% |
| FY2021 | 6.9% | 0.63× | 3.69× | 15.9% |
| FY2020 | -45.9% | 0.46× | 3.34× | -70.9% |
| FY2019 | -84.2% | 0.35× | 2.20× | -65.3% |
| FY2018 | 15.6% | 0.29× | 1.92× | 8.7% |
| FY2017 | 9.8% | 0.58× | 1.92× | 11.0% |
| FY2016 | 10.2% | 0.64× | 1.90× | 12.5% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$165.39M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$271.09M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year-4.5% → 7.7%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$271.09M vs $165.39M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell27.7% → 25.4%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.47 → 1.66
- No dilutionShare count did not rise83M → 85M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.91 → 0.89
See a number that looks wrong?