Moelis & Co (MC) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $4.41BP/E –Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak6 of 30 checks passed
Moelis passes 6 of the 30 checks behind our score; 18 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 1/6
What stands out
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 53.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
No debt
Moelis has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 36.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $56.29 is above our fair value estimate of $41.11.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.88; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
P/B above the industry
Moelis's price-to-book of 8.26 is above the Services Allied with the Exchange of Securities median of 3.70.
Valuation0/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B above the industry
Moelis's price-to-book of 8.26 is above the Services Allied with the Exchange of Securities median of 3.70.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $56.29 is above our fair value estimate of $41.11.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 36.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth0/6
Revenue growth over 3 years
Needs three years of positive revenue.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growth against the industry
Needs revenue for this year and last.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 53.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin against its history
Needs five years of revenue and net income.
Net margin against the industry
Needs revenue and net income.
Financial health4/6
No debt
Moelis has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Debt not rising
With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Short-term liquidity
The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.88; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend1/6
Pays a dividend
Moelis paid dividends worth 3.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 3.5% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Moelis yields 3.5%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$41.11
The share price is 37% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 12.0× | – | 12.0× | $45.93 | 58% |
| P/B | 3.7× | – | 3.7× | $25.26 | 17% |
| Earnings power | 11.9% cost of equity | – | – | $40.43 | 25% |
| Fair value | $41.11 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $65.03M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $32.50M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 21.7%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 38%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.41
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.41
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins need revenue and profit figures
This company does not report the lines needed to calculate margins.
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating income | +58.4% | +8.2% | +0.6% | +7.1% | |
| Free cash flow | +30.0% | +171.3% | +6.8% | +14.6% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Moelis generated $2.13B from operations and spent $1.11B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 8% of that went back into the business.
DuPont needs revenue, assets and equity
This company does not report all three for consecutive years.
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero–
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$576.30M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year– → –
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$576.30M vs –
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise– → –
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose– → –
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