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Merchants Bancorp (MBIN) stock analysis

MBINNasdaqState Commercial BanksFiscal year ends December 31Also trades as MBINL, MBINM, MBINN
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 6, 2026Score 18/307% below fair value
$53.56+0.00 (0.00%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $2.46BP/E 8.8Yield 0.75%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth3Performance4Health4Dividend3

Solid18 of 30 checks passed

Merchants Bancorp passes 18 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $53.56 is below our fair value estimate of $57.41.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 3.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 15.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 29.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.9% a year.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 6.7% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 13.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 16.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -5.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Merchants Bancorp's P/E of 8.8 is above its own 5-year median of 6.4.

Valuation4/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Merchants Bancorp's P/E of 8.8 is above its own 5-year median of 6.4.

  • P/E below the industry

    Merchants Bancorp's P/E of 8.8 is below the Commercial Banks median of 12.1.

  • P/S below the industry

    Merchants Bancorp's price-to-sales of 3.20 is below the Commercial Banks median of 3.60.

  • P/B below the industry

    Merchants Bancorp's price-to-book of 0.99 is below the Commercial Banks median of 1.29.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $53.56 is below our fair value estimate of $57.41.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 6.7% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 15.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -5.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 29.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.9% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 11.3% over the last twelve months; the Commercial Banks median is 11.3%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 13.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 16.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on assets over 1%

    Return on assets was 1.6%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Merchants Bancorp's return on equity of 13.6% is above the Commercial Banks median of 11.5%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 3.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 41.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 46.2%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Merchants Bancorp's net margin of 41.6% is above the Commercial Banks median of 30.3%.

Financial health4/6
  • Well capitalized

    Equity is 11.9% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.

  • Loans funded by deposits

    Loans equal 81.0% of deposits, so lending is funded by customer deposits.

  • Thin loan-loss reserve

    The allowance for credit losses is 0.7% of loans; we look for at least 1%.

  • Efficient operations

    Non-interest expense takes 40.6% of revenue; under 60% is efficient for a bank.

  • Deposits growing

    Deposits grew 7.9% over the past year.

  • Borrowings

    Needs debt and equity figures.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Merchants Bancorp paid dividends worth 0.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.8% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Merchants Bancorp yields 0.8%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 19.1% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$57.41

The share price is 7% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$53.56Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E9.2×6.4×12.1×$55.9950%
P/B1.1×0.9×1.3×$58.8350%
Fair value$57.41100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 6.4
  • Commercial Banks median 12.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$8.18M
Value traded per 1% price move
$7.40M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
10.1%
Volatility (annualized)
34%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.87
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.91

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2014 to 2025

Net margin

32.1%−19.2 pts over 5 years

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