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Stride, Inc. (LRN) stock analysis

LRNNYSEServices-Educational ServicesFiscal year ends June 30
Financials through Q1 FY2027, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 21, 2026Score 20/3034% below fair value
$77.12+0.30 (+0.39%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $3.24BP/E 10.6Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value6Growth3Performance6Health5Dividend0

Solid20 of 30 checks passed

Stride passes 20 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
6/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 34.5% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $77.12 is below our fair value estimate of $117.66.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 20.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 18.1% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 28.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

What to watch

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 5.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 36.5% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 2.5% over the last twelve months; the Services-educational services median is 2.7%.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 37.4% over the last twelve months, against 39.2% a year earlier.

  • No dividend

    Stride has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

Valuation6/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Stride's P/E of 10.6 is below its own 5-year median of 16.7.

  • P/E below the industry

    Stride's P/E of 10.6 is below the Services-educational services median of 13.0.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Stride's EV/EBITDA of 4.8 is below its 5-year median of 7.9.

  • P/B below the industry

    Stride's price-to-book of 1.94 is below the Services-educational services median of 2.30.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $77.12 is below our fair value estimate of $117.66.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 34.5% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 11.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 34.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 5.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 36.5% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 2.5% over the last twelve months; the Services-educational services median is 2.7%.

  • Guidance raised

    Stride raised its full fiscal year 2026 Capital expenditures outlook on Apr 28, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 37.4% over the last twelve months, against 39.2% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 20.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 18.1% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 28.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Stride's return on equity of 20.9% is above the Services-educational services median of 0.6%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 36.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 13.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.7%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Stride's net margin of 13.2% is above the Services-educational services median of -3.7%.

Financial health5/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 25.0% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 37.2% five years ago to 25.0%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 121% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.56 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 5.07; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Stride has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$117.66

The share price is 34% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$77.12Price$117.66Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E14.9×16.7×13.0×$107.7640%
EV/EBITDA8.8×7.9×9.8×$134.3535%
P/B2.3×2.3×2.3×$91.5210%
Earnings power7.4% cost of equity––$122.5415%
Fair value$117.66100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 16.7
  • Services-educational services median 13.0

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$77.22M
Value traded per 1% price move
$40.36M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
12.2%
Volatility (annualized)
40%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.34
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.37

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

37.8%+2.9 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

17.9%+10.7 pts over 5 years

Net margin

13.4%+8.8 pts over 5 years

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