Stride, Inc. (LRN) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $3.24BP/E 10.6Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid20 of 30 checks passed
Stride passes 20 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 6/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 6/6
- Financial health
- 5/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 34.5% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $77.12 is below our fair value estimate of $117.66.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 20.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 18.1% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 28.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
What to watch
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 5.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 36.5% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 2.5% over the last twelve months; the Services-educational services median is 2.7%.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 37.4% over the last twelve months, against 39.2% a year earlier.
No dividend
Stride has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Valuation6/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Stride's P/E of 10.6 is below its own 5-year median of 16.7.
P/E below the industry
Stride's P/E of 10.6 is below the Services-educational services median of 13.0.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Stride's EV/EBITDA of 4.8 is below its 5-year median of 7.9.
P/B below the industry
Stride's price-to-book of 1.94 is below the Services-educational services median of 2.30.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $77.12 is below our fair value estimate of $117.66.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 34.5% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 11.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 34.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 5.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 36.5% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 2.5% over the last twelve months; the Services-educational services median is 2.7%.
Guidance raised
Stride raised its full fiscal year 2026 Capital expenditures outlook on Apr 28, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 37.4% over the last twelve months, against 39.2% a year earlier.
Past performance6/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 20.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 18.1% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 28.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Stride's return on equity of 20.9% is above the Services-educational services median of 0.6%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 36.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 13.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.7%.
Net margin above the industry
Stride's net margin of 13.2% is above the Services-educational services median of -3.7%.
Financial health5/6
Low debt
Debt is 25.0% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 37.2% five years ago to 25.0%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 121% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.56 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 5.07; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Stride has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$117.66
The share price is 34% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 14.9× | 16.7× | 13.0× | $107.76 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.8× | 7.9× | 9.8× | $134.35 | 35% |
| P/B | 2.3× | 2.3× | 2.3× | $91.52 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 7.4% cost of equity | – | – | $122.54 | 15% |
| Fair value | $117.66 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 16.7
- Services-educational services median 13.0
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $77.22M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $40.36M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 12.2%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 40%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.34
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.37
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +4.7% | +11.1% | +10.4% | +11.2% | |
| Gross profit | +0.7% | +13.7% | +12.2% | +11.3% | |
| Operating income | +25.2% | +39.7% | +32.5% | +41.6% | |
| Net income | +17.5% | +38.7% | +36.5% | +43.7% | |
| EPS, diluted | +20.0% | +34.0% | +33.1% | +41.0% | |
| Free cash flow | +0.5% | +29.6% | +27.1% | +14.0% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 0.1% | 9.7% | 21.7% | |
| Return on assets | 0.1% | 5.4% | 14.3% | |
| Current ratio | 4.02 | 2.80 | 5.94 | |
| Debt to equity | – | 0.37 | 0.26 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | -0.44× | -0.58× | |
| Inventory turnover | 18.2× | 29.5× | 41.3× | |
| Capex to revenue | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| Diluted shares | 40M | 42M | 47M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
Stride generated $1.56B from operations and spent $207.38M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 9% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 13.4% | 1.06× | 1.52× | 21.7% |
| FY2025 | 12.0% | 1.14× | 1.59× | 21.7% |
| FY2024 | 10.0% | 1.11× | 1.73× | 19.2% |
| FY2023 | 6.9% | 1.08× | 1.93× | 14.4% |
| FY2022 | 6.4% | 1.05× | 1.99× | 13.2% |
| FY2021 | 4.6% | 1.16× | 1.79× | 9.7% |
| FY2020 | 2.4% | 1.10× | 1.45× | 3.7% |
| FY2019 | 3.7% | 1.30× | 1.28× | 6.1% |
| FY2018 | 3.0% | 1.24× | 1.27× | 4.8% |
| FY2017 | 0.1% | 1.21× | 1.30× | 0.1% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zero$338.19M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$433.81M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year15.0% → 14.7%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$433.81M vs $338.19M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell18.1% → 17.2%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose5.39 → 5.94
- No dilutionShare count did not rise48M → 47M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year39.24% → 37.75%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.25 → 1.10
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