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Kennametal Inc (KMT) stock analysis

KMTNYSEMachine Tools, Metal Cutting TypesFiscal year ends June 30
Financials through Q1 FY2027, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 22/3086% below fair value
$24.26−0.33 (-1.34%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $1.85BP/E 3.2Yield 3.30%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value6Growth5Performance5Health3Dividend3

Strong22 of 30 checks passed

Kennametal passes 22 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
6/6
Growth
5/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 85.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $24.59 is below our fair value estimate of $172.59.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 28.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 44.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 38.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 12.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • High debt

    Debt is 60.0% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 4.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -20.4% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

Valuation6/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Kennametal's P/E of 3.2 is below its own 5-year median of 17.7.

  • P/E below the industry

    Kennametal's P/E of 3.2 is below the Industrial and Commercial Machinery and Computer Equipment median of 27.5.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Kennametal's EV/EBITDA of 2.9 is below its 5-year median of 13.4.

  • P/B below the industry

    Kennametal's price-to-book of 1.03 is below the Industrial and Commercial Machinery and Computer Equipment median of 2.71.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $24.59 is below our fair value estimate of $172.59.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 85.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth5/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 4.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 44.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 526% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 44.5% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 32.5% over the last twelve months; the Industrial and Commercial Machinery and Computer Equipment median is 10.1%.

  • Guidance raised

    Kennametal raised its full fiscal year 2026 Adjusted EPS outlook on May 6, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 50.6% over the last twelve months, against 30.3% a year earlier.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 38.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 12.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 28.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Kennametal's return on equity of 38.0% is above the Industrial and Commercial Machinery and Computer Equipment median of 7.0%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 44.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 22.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 7.5%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Kennametal's net margin of 22.5% is above the Industrial and Commercial Machinery and Computer Equipment median of 4.8%.

Financial health3/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 60.0% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 44.5% five years ago to 60.0%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -20.4% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 24.1 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 3.45 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.11; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Kennametal paid dividends worth 2.4% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.4% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Kennametal yields 2.4%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 10.3% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$172.59

The share price is 86% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$24.59Price$172.59Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E22.6×17.7×27.5×$171.1153%
EV/EBITDA14.8×13.4×16.1×$174.2847%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others10.3% cost of equity––$8.83–
Fair value$172.59100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 17.7
  • Industrial and Commercial Machinery and Computer Equipment median 27.5

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$49.29M
Value traded per 1% price move
$25.68M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
21.9%
Volatility (annualized)
46%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.29
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.09

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

41.2%+11.2 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

20.1%+14.5 pts over 5 years

Net margin

14.5%+11.6 pts over 5 years

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