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Kadant Inc (KAI) stock analysis

KAINYSESpecial Industry Machinery (No Metalworking Machinery)Fiscal year ends January 2
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Oct 3, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 10, 2026Score 19/303% above fair value
$302.17+2.34 (+0.78%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $3.57BP/E 30.5Yield 0.45%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth3Performance4Health5Dividend4

Solid19 of 30 checks passed

Kadant passes 19 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 13.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 14.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 13.1% a year.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 8.9 times.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 2.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $302.17 is above our fair value estimate of $294.68.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 15.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • High debt

    Debt is 43.3% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Kadant's P/E of 30.5 is below its own 5-year median of 31.0.

  • P/E below the industry

    Kadant's P/E of 30.5 is below the Special Industry Machinery, except Metalworking median of 32.8.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Kadant's EV/EBITDA of 15.9 is below its 5-year median of 17.2.

  • P/B above the industry

    Kadant's price-to-book of 3.39 is above the Special Industry Machinery, except Metalworking median of 2.10.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $302.17 is above our fair value estimate of $294.68.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 2.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 5.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -5.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 14.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 13.1% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 16.6% over the last twelve months; the Special Industry Machinery, except Metalworking median is 5.7%.

  • Guidance raised

    Kadant raised its 2026 revenue outlook on Aug 4, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 44.4% over the last twelve months, against 45.1% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 15.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Kadant's return on equity of 11.7% is above the Special Industry Machinery, except Metalworking median of 4.6%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 13.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 9.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.3%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Kadant's net margin of 9.8% is above the Special Industry Machinery, except Metalworking median of 5.1%.

Financial health5/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 43.3% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 47.1% five years ago to 43.3%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 43.7% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 8.9 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.49 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.60; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Kadant paid dividends worth 0.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.5% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Kadant yields 0.5%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 14.1% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 9.5% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$294.68

The share price is 3% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$302.17Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E31.9×31.0×32.8×$315.6240%
EV/EBITDA18.3×17.2×19.3×$352.1835%
P/B3.0×4.0×2.1×$270.9110%
Earnings power9.9% cost of equity––$120.5015%
Fair value$294.68100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 31.0
  • Special Industry Machinery, except Metalworking median 32.8

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$36.86M
Value traded per 1% price move
$27.28M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
16.9%
Volatility (annualized)
40%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.23
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.00

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

45.2%+1.5 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

14.9%+2.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

9.7%+1.0 pts over 5 years

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