Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) stock analysis
Close on Nov 10, 2026Market cap $11.04BP/E –Yield 3.33%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed12 of 30 checks passed
Jefferies Financial passes 12 of the 30 checks behind our score; 13 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 3/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 0/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 56.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $48.06 is below our fair value estimate of $109.11.
No debt
Jefferies Financial has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 14.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -2.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 0.40; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 13.5% over the last twelve months; the Security Brokers, Dealers, and Flotation median is 16.2%.
Yield below Treasuries
The 3.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Valuation3/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B below the industry
Jefferies Financial's price-to-book of 1.03 is below the Security Brokers, Dealers, and Flotation median of 3.12.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $48.06 is below our fair value estimate of $109.11.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 56.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 14.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -2.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 13.5% over the last twelve months; the Security Brokers, Dealers, and Flotation median is 16.2%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 98.7% over the last twelve months, against 98.0% a year earlier.
Past performance0/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin against its history
Needs five years of revenue and net income.
Net margin against the industry
Needs revenue and net income.
Financial health4/6
No debt
Jefferies Financial has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Debt not rising
With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Short-term liquidity
The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 0.40; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Jefferies Financial paid dividends worth 3.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 3.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Jefferies Financial yields 3.3%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 8.8% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$109.11
The share price is 56% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 6.9× | 0.6× | 13.2× | $113.41 | 78% |
| P/B | 2.0× | 0.9× | 3.1× | $94.06 | 22% |
| Fair value | $109.11 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 18.2
- Security Brokers, Dealers, and Flotation median 15.7
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $106.01M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $54.74M
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 32.2%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 41%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.39
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.43
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2009 to 2025
Gross margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +2.9% | +14.8% | +9.5% | -0.8% | |
| Gross profit | +3.1% | +16.6% | +10.2% | +10.3% | |
| EPS, diluted | -5.4% | -2.6% | +1.3% | +14.4% | |
| Dividend per share | +23.1% | +10.1% | +21.7% | +20.4% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2014 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 2.0% | – | – | |
| Return on assets | 0.4% | – | – | |
| Inventory turnover | 20.4× | – | – | |
| Capex to revenue | – | 2.6% | 1.9% | |
| Diluted shares | 373M | 290M | 223M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Jefferies Financial generated $6.96B from operations and spent $3.71B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 23% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | 18.6% | 0.16× | 5.47× | 16.7% |
| FY2017 | 3.3% | 0.11× | 4.56× | 1.7% |
| FY2016 | 3.3% | 0.08× | 4.45× | 1.2% |
| FY2015 | 2.4% | 0.24× | 4.78× | 2.7% |
| FY2014 | 1.7% | 0.25× | 4.92× | 2.0% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero–
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero-$1.50B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year– → –
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income-$1.50B vs –
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise224M → 223M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year98.04% → 98.24%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.18 → 0.17
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