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IT Tech Packaging, Inc. (ITP) stock analysis

ITPNYSEConverted Paper & Paperboard Prods (No Contaners/Boxes)Fiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2025, quarter ended Sep 30, 2025Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 13, 2025Score 7/3098% below fair value
$0.06+0.00 (0.00%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $1.04MP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth0Performance0Health3Dividend0

Weak7 of 30 checks passed

IT Tech Packaging passes 7 of the 30 checks behind our score; 12 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 97.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $0.06 is below our fair value estimate of $2.69.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 6.5% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 39.3% of total debt.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -6.9% over the last twelve months and averaged -4.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -4.8%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -22.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense -16.6 times; we look for at least 5.

Valuation4/6

  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    IT Tech Packaging's EV/EBITDA of 0.6 is below its 5-year median of 1.1.

  • P/B below the industry

    IT Tech Packaging's price-to-book of 0.01 is below the Paper and Allied Products median of 1.46.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $0.06 is below our fair value estimate of $2.69.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 97.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth0/6

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -22.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -0.3% over the last twelve months; the Paper and Allied Products median is 0.8%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 5.7% over the last twelve months, against 7.4% a year earlier.

Past performance0/6

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -6.9% over the last twelve months and averaged -4.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -4.8%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    IT Tech Packaging's return on equity of -6.9% is below the Paper and Allied Products median of 0.3%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was -13.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -9.2%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    IT Tech Packaging's net margin of -13.9% is below the Paper and Allied Products median of 0.2%.

Financial health3/6

  • Low debt

    Debt is 6.5% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 39.3% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense -16.6 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.92 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.94; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6

  • No dividend

    IT Tech Packaging has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Fair value

How we estimate it

Our estimate per share

$2.69

The share price is 98% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$0.06Price$2.69Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA5.9×1.1×10.7×$1.4958%
P/B0.7×0.0×1.5×$6.6017%
Earnings power7.4% cost of equity––$2.8825%
Fair value$2.69100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Paper and Allied Products median 18.7

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

High risk

Average value traded per day
$36.49K
Value traded per 1% price move
$5.17K

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
29.2%
Volatility (annualized)
82%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.99
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.35

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2010 to 2024

Gross margin

8.8%−2.8 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

-10.8%−14.1 pts over 5 years

Net margin

-13.0%−14.9 pts over 5 years

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