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Hyperion DeFi, Inc. (HYPD) stock analysis

HYPDNasdaqFinance ServicesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 13, 2026Score 11/3056% below fair value
$2.59+0.01 (+0.39%)

Close on Nov 10, 2026Market cap $40.25MP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth3Performance3Health2Dividend0

Mixed11 of 30 checks passed

Hyperion DeFi passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 12 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 56.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $2.59 is below our fair value estimate of $5.89.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 5.5% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Guidance raised

    Hyperion DeFi raised its 2026 Adjusted Gross Profit outlook on May 14, 2026.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 9.6% over the last twelve months and averaged -188% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 5.4%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 4.9 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -248% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

Valuation3/6

  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B below the industry

    Hyperion DeFi's price-to-book of 0.39 is below the Finance services median of 0.83.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $2.59 is below our fair value estimate of $5.89.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 56.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6

  • Revenue growth over 3 years

    Needs three years of positive revenue.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 3052% over the last twelve months; the Finance services median is 9.8%.

  • Guidance raised

    Hyperion DeFi raised its 2026 Adjusted Gross Profit outlook on May 14, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 78.4% over the last twelve months, against -7177% a year earlier.

Past performance3/6

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 9.6% over the last twelve months and averaged -188% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 5.4%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Hyperion DeFi's return on equity of 9.6% is above the Finance services median of -33.5%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 475% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -203103%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Hyperion DeFi's net margin of 475% is above the Finance services median of -64.5%.

Financial health2/6

  • Low debt

    Debt is 5.5% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 2.4% five years ago to 5.5%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -248% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 4.9 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.34 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is -0.11; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6

  • No dividend

    Hyperion DeFi has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Fair value

How we estimate it

Our estimate per share

$5.89

The share price is 56% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$2.59Price$5.89Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA13.8×–13.8×$4.1678%
P/B1.8×3.1×0.8×$11.9722%
Fair value$5.89100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/B at month end
  • Own 5-year median 3.1
  • Finance services median 0.8

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

High risk

Average value traded per day
$957.57K
Value traded per 1% price move
$230.25K

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
34.1%
Volatility (annualized)
108%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.59
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
2.30

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2015 to 2025

Gross margin

62.7%+2.7 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

-5743.5%−4754.1 pts over 5 years

Net margin

-5570.6%−4582.1 pts over 5 years

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