Hour Loop, Inc (HOUR) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $57.73MP/E 41.0Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed12 of 30 checks passed
Hour Loop passes 12 of the 30 checks behind our score; 10 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 21.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 21.5% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 24.5%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 14.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 126% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -14.9% a year.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 7.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $1.64 is above our fair value estimate of $1.52.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 14.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
P/E above the industry
Hour Loop's P/E of 41.0 is above the Nonstore Retailers median of 20.2.
Valuation2/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Hour Loop's P/E of 41.0 is below its own 5-year median of 44.0.
P/E above the industry
Hour Loop's P/E of 41.0 is above the Nonstore Retailers median of 20.2.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Hour Loop's EV/EBITDA of 23.8 is below its 5-year median of 34.7.
P/B above the industry
Hour Loop's price-to-book of 6.50 is above the Nonstore Retailers median of 3.15.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $1.64 is above our fair value estimate of $1.52.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 7.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 14.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 126% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -14.9% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 10.8% over the last twelve months; the Nonstore Retailers median is 5.9%.
Guidance unchanged
The latest outlook (full year net revenue, Aug 11, 2026) was maintained, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 51.5% over the last twelve months, against 51.7% a year earlier.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 21.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 21.5% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 24.5%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Hour Loop's return on equity of 21.8% is above the Nonstore Retailers median of 1.4%.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 14.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 1.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 1.2%.
Net margin above the industry
Hour Loop's net margin of 1.1% is above the Nonstore Retailers median of -0.2%.
Financial health3/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt coverage
Needs operating cash flow.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 13.5 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.49 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 8.70; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Hour Loop has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$1.52
The share price is 8% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 31.6× | 44.0× | 20.2× | $1.26 | 47% |
| EV/EBITDA | 25.9× | 34.7× | 17.8× | $1.78 | 41% |
| P/B | 6.4× | 10.1× | 3.1× | $1.63 | 12% |
| Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others | 12.0% cost of equity | – | – | $0.06 | – |
| Fair value | $1.52 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 44.0
- Nonstore Retailers median 20.2
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
High risk
- Average value traded per day
- $19.48K
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $4.78K
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 22.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 64%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.32
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.43
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2019 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +3.0% | +14.1% | +29.8% | – | |
| Gross profit | +3.6% | +15.1% | +27.5% | – | |
| Operating income | +236.7% | – | -8.5% | – | |
| Net income | +159.3% | – | -14.9% | – | |
| EPS, diluted | +150.0% | – | -14.6% | – | |
| Free cash flow | +803.2% | – | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
7 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | 168.9% | 28.1% | |
| Return on assets | – | – | 7.8% | |
| Current ratio | – | 1.72 | 1.37 | |
| Interest coverage | – | 88.8× | 13.4× | |
| Inventory turnover | – | – | 4.1× | |
| Capex to revenue | – | – | 0.1% | |
| Diluted shares | – | 33M | 35M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Hour Loop generated $24.33M from operations and spent $484.57K on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 100% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 1.2% | 6.51× | 3.60× | 28.1% |
| FY2024 | 0.5% | 7.00× | 4.11× | 13.7% |
| FY2023 | -1.8% | 5.84× | 4.01× | -43.1% |
| FY2022 | -1.5% | 4.31× | 4.70× | -31.1% |
| FY2021 | 7.6% | 4.38× | 4.20× | 140.1% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$1.70M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$2.58M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year3.4% → 8.5%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$2.58M vs $1.70M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.27 → 1.37
- No dilutionShare count did not rise35M → 35M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year52.09% → 52.40%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose7.07 → 7.13
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