Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $804.34MP/E 50.8Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak5 of 30 checks passed
Canada Goose passes 5 of the 30 checks behind our score; 14 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 22.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Low debt
Debt is 0.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 4569% of total debt.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 13.3% over the last twelve months; the Apparel and Other Finished Products Made from Fabrics and Similar Materials median is 2.3%.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 3.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 15.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 20.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 7.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -30.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Valuation0/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B against the industry
Needs positive book value.
Price against fair value
We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.
Margin of safety
Depends on the fair value estimate.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 7.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -30.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -76.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -20.4% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 13.3% over the last twelve months; the Apparel and Other Finished Products Made from Fabrics and Similar Materials median is 2.3%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (fiscal 2027 Adjusted EBIT margin, May 14, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 69.7% over the last twelve months, against 69.9% a year earlier.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 3.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 15.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 22.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Canada Goose's return on equity of 3.9% is below the Apparel and Other Finished Products Made from Fabrics and Similar Materials median of 8.3%.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 20.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 1.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.5%.
Net margin below the industry
Canada Goose's net margin of 1.5% is below the Apparel and Other Finished Products Made from Fabrics and Similar Materials median of 2.8%.
Financial health3/6
Low debt
Debt is 0.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 0.0% five years ago to 0.7%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 4569% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.63 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)
Needs market value, working capital and retained earnings.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Canada Goose has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itWe don't publish a fair value for Canada Goose. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $7.95M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $4.44M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 18.8%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 43%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.91
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.32
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2015 to 2026
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +13.3% | +7.9% | +11.1% | +18.0% | |
| Gross profit | +13.0% | +9.3% | +14.0% | +22.0% | |
| Operating income | -45.9% | -15.6% | -5.4% | +8.0% | |
| Net income | -76.3% | -32.4% | -20.4% | – | |
| EPS, diluted | -76.3% | -30.7% | -18.3% | -1.2% | |
| Free cash flow | -45.6% | +28.1% | -10.6% | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | – | 3.9% | |
| Return on assets | – | 5.5% | 1.3% | |
| Current ratio | 2.54 | 3.42 | 2.63 | |
| Inventory turnover | – | 0.9× | 1.2× | |
| Capex to revenue | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | |
| Diluted shares | 102M | 111M | 99M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
Canada Goose generated C$916.80M from operations and spent C$616.20M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 32% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 1.5% | 0.90× | 2.94× | 3.9% |
| FY2025 | 7.0% | 0.87× | 3.25× | 19.8% |
| FY2024 | 4.4% | 0.87× | 3.46× | 13.2% |
| FY2023 | 6.0% | 0.83× | 3.27× | 16.2% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zeroC$22.50M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zeroC$191.90M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year6.4% → 1.4%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net incomeC$191.90M vs C$22.50M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose2.59 → 2.63
- No dilutionShare count did not rise98M → 99M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year69.94% → 69.72%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.91 → 0.94
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