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First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) stock analysis

FSLRNasdaqSemiconductors & Related DevicesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 29, 2026Score 20/3059% below fair value
$171.39−0.91 (-0.53%)

Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $18.42BP/E 9.9Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works

Value6Growth3Performance5Health6Dividend0

Solid20 of 30 checks passed

First Solar passes 20 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
6/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 58.9% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $171.39 is below our fair value estimate of $417.05.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 21.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 1.0% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 18.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Guidance lowered

    First Solar lowered its 2026 Operating Expenses outlook on Oct 29, 2026.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -0.7% over the last twelve months; the Electronic Components and Accessories median is 17.6%.

  • No dividend

    First Solar has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

Valuation6/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    First Solar's P/E of 9.9 is below its own 5-year median of 19.7.

  • P/E below the industry

    First Solar's P/E of 9.9 is below the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 34.1.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    First Solar's EV/EBITDA of 6.8 is below its 5-year median of 12.6.

  • P/B below the industry

    First Solar's price-to-book of 1.69 is below the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.21.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $171.39 is below our fair value estimate of $417.05.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 58.9% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 25.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 32.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 30.9% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -0.7% over the last twelve months; the Electronic Components and Accessories median is 17.6%.

  • Guidance lowered

    First Solar lowered its 2026 Operating Expenses outlook on Oct 29, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 49.3% over the last twelve months, against 40.0% a year earlier.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 18.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 21.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    First Solar's return on equity of 18.7% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 5.0%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 30.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 37.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 19.9%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    First Solar's net margin of 37.1% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.0%.

Financial health6/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 1.0% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 5.1% five years ago to 1.0%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 779% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 70.3 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.57 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 5.41; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    First Solar has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$417.05

The share price is 59% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$171.39Price$417.05Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E26.9×19.7×34.1×$464.5547%
EV/EBITDA16.6×12.6×20.6×$397.9241%
P/B2.9×2.6×3.2×$294.0112%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others10.0% cost of equity––$80.87–
Fair value$417.05100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 19.7
  • Electronic Components and Accessories median 34.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$516.08M
Value traded per 1% price move
$213.50M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
23.0%
Volatility (annualized)
53%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.77
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.99

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

40.6%+15.5 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

30.6%+18.9 pts over 5 years

Net margin

29.3%+14.6 pts over 5 years

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