First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) stock analysis
Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $18.42BP/E 9.9Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works
Solid20 of 30 checks passed
First Solar passes 20 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 6/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 5/6
- Financial health
- 6/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 58.9% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $171.39 is below our fair value estimate of $417.05.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 21.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Low debt
Debt is 1.0% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 18.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Guidance lowered
First Solar lowered its 2026 Operating Expenses outlook on Oct 29, 2026.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -0.7% over the last twelve months; the Electronic Components and Accessories median is 17.6%.
No dividend
First Solar has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Valuation6/6
P/E below its 5-year median
First Solar's P/E of 9.9 is below its own 5-year median of 19.7.
P/E below the industry
First Solar's P/E of 9.9 is below the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 34.1.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
First Solar's EV/EBITDA of 6.8 is below its 5-year median of 12.6.
P/B below the industry
First Solar's price-to-book of 1.69 is below the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.21.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $171.39 is below our fair value estimate of $417.05.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 58.9% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 25.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 32.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 30.9% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -0.7% over the last twelve months; the Electronic Components and Accessories median is 17.6%.
Guidance lowered
First Solar lowered its 2026 Operating Expenses outlook on Oct 29, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 49.3% over the last twelve months, against 40.0% a year earlier.
Past performance5/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 18.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 21.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
First Solar's return on equity of 18.7% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 5.0%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 30.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 37.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 19.9%.
Net margin above the industry
First Solar's net margin of 37.1% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.0%.
Financial health6/6
Low debt
Debt is 1.0% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 5.1% five years ago to 1.0%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 779% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 70.3 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.57 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 5.41; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
First Solar has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$417.05
The share price is 59% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 26.9× | 19.7× | 34.1× | $464.55 | 47% |
| EV/EBITDA | 16.6× | 12.6× | 20.6× | $397.92 | 41% |
| P/B | 2.9× | 2.6× | 3.2× | $294.01 | 12% |
| Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others | 10.0% cost of equity | – | – | $80.87 | – |
| Fair value | $417.05 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 19.7
- Electronic Components and Accessories median 34.1
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $516.08M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $213.50M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 23.0%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 53%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.77
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.99
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +24.1% | +25.8% | +14.0% | +2.4% | |
| Gross profit | +14.1% | +211.9% | +25.5% | +6.5% | |
| Operating income | +14.5% | – | +38.1% | +8.1% | |
| Net income | +18.3% | – | +30.9% | +9.9% | |
| EPS, diluted | +18.2% | – | +30.7% | +9.3% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -7.7% | 7.5% | 17.4% | |
| Return on assets | -5.9% | 5.4% | 12.0% | |
| Current ratio | 4.17 | 3.56 | 2.67 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.05 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 3.64× | -1.81× | -1.08× | |
| Interest coverage | -27.7× | 13.2× | 36.2× | |
| Inventory turnover | 6.1× | 4.0× | 3.4× | |
| Capex to revenue | 7.9% | 15.4% | 16.7% | |
| Diluted shares | 103M | 107M | 108M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
First Solar generated $4.99B from operations and spent $5.23B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 100% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 29.3% | 0.41× | 1.45× | 17.4% |
| FY2024 | 30.7% | 0.37× | 1.53× | 17.6% |
| FY2023 | 25.0% | 0.36× | 1.49× | 13.3% |
| FY2022 | -1.7% | 0.33× | 1.33× | -0.7% |
| FY2021 | 16.0% | 0.40× | 1.26× | 8.2% |
| FY2020 | 14.7% | 0.37× | 1.38× | 7.5% |
| FY2019 | -3.8% | 0.42× | 1.42× | -2.2% |
| FY2018 | 6.4% | 0.32× | 1.36× | 2.8% |
| FY2017 | -5.6% | 0.43× | 1.33× | -3.2% |
| FY2016 | -14.3% | 0.41× | 1.30× | -7.7% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$1.53B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$2.06B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year12.5% → 12.6%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$2.06B vs $1.53B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell3.1% → 2.1%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose2.45 → 2.67
- No dilutionShare count did not rise108M → 108M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year44.17% → 40.62%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.41 → 0.43
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