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Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS) stock analysis

FPSNYSEElectrical Industrial ApparatusFiscal year ends June 30
Financials through Q1 FY2027, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 12, 2026Score 8/3041% above fair value
$24.57+3.09 (+14.39%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $7.48BP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth2Performance3Health3Dividend0

Weak8 of 30 checks passed

Forgent Power Solutions passes 8 of the 30 checks behind our score; 15 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 17.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 41.2% of total debt.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.46; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • Guidance raised

    Forgent Power Solutions raised its Full Year Fiscal 2026 Guidance Revenues outlook on May 14, 2026.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 41.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $24.57 is above our fair value estimate of $17.38.

  • High debt

    Debt is 81.8% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 4.3 times; we look for at least 5.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B above the industry

    Forgent Power Solutions's price-to-book of 10.53 is above the Electronic and Other Electrical Equipment and Components, except Computer Equipment median of 6.03.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $24.57 is above our fair value estimate of $17.38.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 41.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growth over 3 years

    Needs three years of positive revenue.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 83.1% over the last twelve months; the Electronic and Other Electrical Equipment and Components, except Computer Equipment median is 13.5%.

  • Guidance raised

    Forgent Power Solutions raised its Full Year Fiscal 2026 Guidance Revenues outlook on May 14, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 34.5% over the last twelve months, against 35.1% a year earlier.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 17.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Forgent Power Solutions's return on equity of 16.9% is above the Electronic and Other Electrical Equipment and Components, except Computer Equipment median of 12.0%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin against its history

    Needs five years of revenue and net income.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Forgent Power Solutions's net margin of 7.4% is above the Electronic and Other Electrical Equipment and Components, except Computer Equipment median of 5.8%.

Financial health3/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 81.8% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 41.2% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 4.3 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.46 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.46; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Forgent Power Solutions has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$17.38

The share price is 41% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$24.57Price$17.38Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA20.9×–20.9×$18.3378%
P/B6.0×–6.0×$14.0722%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others9.9% cost of equity––$0.37–
Fair value$17.38100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$293.27M
Value traded per 1% price move
$52.49M

Downside

Typical loss in a bad month
–
Volatility (annualized)
94%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
–
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
–

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2023 to 2026

Gross margin

35.0%

Operating margin

12.9%

Net margin

5.8%

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