FirstEnergy Corp (FE) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $26.94BP/E 22.4Yield 3.78%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak7 of 30 checks passed
FirstEnergy passes 7 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 1/6
- Dividend
- 2/6
What stands out
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 35.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.
P/E below its 5-year median
FirstEnergy's P/E of 22.4 is below its own 5-year median of 22.9.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 87.6% of net income.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 12.2% over the last twelve months; the Electric Services median is 7.8%.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 39.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $46.53 is above our fair value estimate of $33.48.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 9.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 4.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Valuation1/6
P/E below its 5-year median
FirstEnergy's P/E of 22.4 is below its own 5-year median of 22.9.
P/E above the industry
FirstEnergy's P/E of 22.4 is above the Electric Services median of 20.9.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
FirstEnergy's EV/EBITDA of 24.2 is above its 5-year median of 20.3.
P/B above the industry
FirstEnergy's price-to-book of 2.08 is above the Electric Services median of 2.02.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $46.53 is above our fair value estimate of $33.48.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 39.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 6.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 35.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -9.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -1.1% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 12.2% over the last twelve months; the Electric Services median is 7.8%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (through 2030 Core Earnings compound annual growth rate, Oct 27, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 9.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 4.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
FirstEnergy's return on equity of 9.3% is above the Electric Services median of 8.3%.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 1.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 7.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 7.5%.
Net margin below the industry
FirstEnergy's net margin of 7.4% is below the Electric Services median of 8.8%.
Financial health1/6
High debt
Debt is 232% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 338% five years ago to 232%.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 10.6% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 1.8 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.38 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 0.66; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend2/6
Pays a dividend
FirstEnergy paid dividends worth 3.0% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 3.0% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; FirstEnergy yields 3.0%.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 87.6% of net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$33.48
The share price is 39% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 21.9× | 22.9× | 20.9× | $45.60 | 47% |
| EV/EBITDA | 16.3× | 20.3× | 12.2× | $16.11 | 41% |
| P/B | 2.0× | 2.1× | 2.0× | $45.87 | 12% |
| Fair value | $33.48 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 22.9
- Electric Services median 20.9
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $226.31M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $272.19M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 11.8%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 16%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.22
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.27
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +12.0% | +6.6% | +6.9% | +0.0% | |
| Operating income | -7.1% | +4.9% | +0.4% | -0.4% | |
| Net income | +4.3% | +35.9% | -1.1% | +5.8% | |
| EPS, diluted | +3.5% | +35.3% | -2.4% | +2.5% | |
| Dividend per share | +4.5% | +4.1% | +2.4% | +2.0% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -66.2% | 15.2% | 8.2% | |
| Return on assets | -13.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | |
| Current ratio | 0.41 | 0.74 | 0.57 | |
| Debt to equity | 3.61 | 3.38 | 2.12 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 5.53× | 6.75× | – | |
| Interest coverage | 2.1× | 2.0× | 1.8× | |
| Capex to revenue | 26.5% | 24.6% | 31.2% | |
| Diluted shares | 426M | 543M | 578M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
FirstEnergy generated $13.47B from operations and spent $22.06B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 79% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 6.8% | 0.28× | 4.32× | 8.2% |
| FY2024 | 7.3% | 0.27× | 4.40× | 8.5% |
| FY2023 | 8.6% | 0.27× | 4.60× | 10.7% |
| FY2022 | 3.3% | 0.27× | 4.86× | 4.3% |
| FY2021 | 11.5% | 0.25× | 5.65× | 16.1% |
| FY2020 | 10.0% | 0.25× | 6.11× | 15.2% |
| FY2019 | 8.3% | 0.27× | 5.97× | 13.2% |
| FY2018 | 12.0% | 0.27× | 7.67× | 25.1% |
| FY2017 | -15.8% | 0.26× | 8.40× | -33.9% |
| FY2016 | -57.7% | 0.22× | 5.10× | -66.2% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$1.02B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$3.70B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year2.0% → 2.0%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$3.70B vs $1.02B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell43.2% → 45.6%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.56 → 0.57
- No dilutionShare count did not rise577M → 578M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.28 → 0.29
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