Expeditors International of Washington Inc (EXPD) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $25.29BP/E 24.7Yield 0.79%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid15 of 30 checks passed
Expeditors International of Washington passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 5/6
- Financial health
- 6/6
- Dividend
- 2/6
What stands out
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 45.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 37.0% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 86.9%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
No debt
Expeditors International of Washington has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 3.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 40.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $194.59 is above our fair value estimate of $138.12.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -13.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -10.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Valuation0/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Expeditors International of Washington's P/E of 24.7 is above its own 5-year median of 19.9.
P/E above the industry
Expeditors International of Washington's P/E of 24.7 is above the Transportation Services median of 19.9.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Expeditors International of Washington's EV/EBITDA of 17.3 is above its 5-year median of 13.0.
P/B above the industry
Expeditors International of Washington's price-to-book of 10.80 is above the Transportation Services median of 1.90.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $194.59 is above our fair value estimate of $138.12.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 40.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -13.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -10.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 23.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.1% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 18.6% over the last twelve months; the Transportation Services median is 2.5%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance5/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 45.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 37.0% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 86.9%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Expeditors International of Washington's return on equity of 45.0% is above the Transportation Services median of -22.9%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 3.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 7.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 7.9%.
Net margin above the industry
Expeditors International of Washington's net margin of 7.9% is above the Transportation Services median of -6.7%.
Financial health6/6
No debt
Expeditors International of Washington has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Debt not rising
With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.56 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 8.42; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend2/6
Pays a dividend
Expeditors International of Washington paid dividends worth 0.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.8% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Expeditors International of Washington yields 0.8%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$138.12
The share price is 41% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 19.9× | 19.9× | 19.9× | $156.59 | 44% |
| EV/EBITDA | 12.7× | 13.0× | 12.3× | $144.63 | 39% |
| Earnings power | 9.2% cost of equity | – | – | $73.64 | 17% |
| Fair value | $138.12 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 19.9
- Transportation Services median 19.9
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $257.27M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $203.14M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 11.7%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 29%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.17
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.87
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +4.4% | -13.4% | +2.9% | +5.3% | |
| Operating income | +1.1% | -16.8% | +2.3% | +3.8% | |
| Net income | +0.0% | -15.8% | +3.1% | +5.9% | |
| EPS, diluted | +4.0% | -10.4% | +7.9% | +9.5% | |
| Free cash flow | +39.6% | -22.4% | +9.4% | +6.2% | |
| Dividend per share | +5.5% | +4.7% | +8.2% | +7.9% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 24.4% | 28.7% | 35.4% | |
| Return on assets | 16.1% | 16.2% | 16.8% | |
| Current ratio | 2.39 | 2.09 | 1.81 | |
| Interest coverage | – | 4294.2× | – | |
| Capex to revenue | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| Diluted shares | 183M | 171M | 136M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Expeditors International of Washington generated $5.78B from operations and spent $6.29B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 4% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 7.3% | 2.29× | 2.11× | 35.4% |
| FY2024 | 7.6% | 2.29× | 2.01× | 35.1% |
| FY2023 | 8.1% | 1.84× | 1.84× | 27.4% |
| FY2022 | 8.0% | 2.59× | 2.00× | 41.1% |
| FY2021 | 8.6% | 2.64× | 2.04× | 46.0% |
| FY2020 | 7.3% | 2.22× | 1.78× | 28.7% |
| FY2019 | 7.4% | 2.27× | 1.68× | 28.2% |
| FY2018 | 7.6% | 2.53× | 1.62× | 31.1% |
| FY2017 | 7.1% | 2.34× | 1.54× | 25.5% |
| FY2016 | 7.1% | 2.28× | 1.51× | 24.4% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$810.33M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$1.01B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year17.9% → 17.0%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$1.01B vs $810.33M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.77 → 1.81
- No dilutionShare count did not rise142M → 136M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose2.34 → 2.33
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