Elastic N.V. (ESTC) stock analysis
Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $9.25BP/E 26.5Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works
Mixed10 of 30 checks passed
Elastic passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 16 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 4/6
- Past performance
- 3/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 17.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.79; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
P/E below the industry
Elastic's P/E of 26.5 is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 27.3.
Guidance raised
Elastic raised its fiscal 2027 Total revenue outlook on Aug 27, 2026.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 33.1% over the last twelve months and averaged -14.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense -1.9 times; we look for at least 5.
P/B above the industry
Elastic's price-to-book of 7.14 is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.05.
No dividend
Elastic has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Valuation1/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E below the industry
Elastic's P/E of 26.5 is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 27.3.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B above the industry
Elastic's price-to-book of 7.14 is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.05.
Price against fair value
We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.
Margin of safety
Depends on the fair value estimate.
Growth4/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 17.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 16.2% over the last twelve months; the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median is 9.6%.
Guidance raised
Elastic raised its fiscal 2027 Total revenue outlook on Aug 27, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 75.5% over the last twelve months, against 75.2% a year earlier.
Past performance3/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 33.1% over the last twelve months and averaged -14.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Elastic's return on equity of 33.1% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -1.1%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 20.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -5.4%.
Net margin above the industry
Elastic's net margin of 20.8% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -4.7%.
Financial health2/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt coverage
Needs operating cash flow.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense -1.9 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.81 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.79; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Elastic has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itWe don't publish a fair value for Elastic. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median 27.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $172.43M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $70.67M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 22.4%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 59%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.16
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.79
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2016 to 2026
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +17.3% | +17.6% | +23.4% | – | |
| Gross profit | +19.9% | +19.7% | +24.2% | – | |
| Free cash flow | +22.9% | +113.7% | +76.8% | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 44.9% | -29.9% | 33.4% | |
| Return on assets | – | -14.6% | 12.8% | |
| Current ratio | – | 1.42 | 1.68 | |
| Interest coverage | – | -699.9× | -1.3× | |
| Capex to revenue | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| Diluted shares | 30M | 87M | 107M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
Elastic generated $783.16M from operations and spent $358.14M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 5% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 21.1% | 0.61× | 2.61× | 33.4% |
| FY2025 | -7.3% | 0.61× | 2.90× | -13.0% |
| FY2024 | 4.9% | 0.64× | 3.51× | 10.9% |
| FY2023 | -22.1% | 0.63× | 4.16× | -58.0% |
| FY2022 | -23.6% | 0.66× | 3.02× | -47.1% |
| FY2021 | -21.3% | 0.68× | 2.06× | -29.9% |
| FY2020 | -39.1% | 0.66× | 1.91× | -49.4% |
| FY2019 | -37.7% | 0.81× | 6.11× | -186.9% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zero$367.77M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$326.89M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year-4.8% → 14.2%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$326.89M vs $367.77M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.92 → 1.68
- No dilutionShare count did not rise104M → 107M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year74.39% → 76.07%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.66 → 0.67
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