EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $29.19BP/E 19.3Yield 0.15%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Strong24 of 30 checks passed
Emcor passes 24 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 3/6
- Growth
- 5/6
- Past performance
- 6/6
- Financial health
- 6/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 40.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 28.3% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 49.5%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
No debt
Emcor has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 57.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 1.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $666.74 is above our fair value estimate of $657.10.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 36.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 57.1% a year.
P/B above the industry
Emcor's price-to-book of 6.83 is above the Construction Special Trade Contractors median of 3.14.
Valuation3/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Emcor's P/E of 19.3 is below its own 5-year median of 21.1.
P/E below the industry
Emcor's P/E of 19.3 is below the Construction Special Trade Contractors median of 25.1.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Emcor's EV/EBITDA of 13.7 is below its 5-year median of 14.6.
P/B above the industry
Emcor's price-to-book of 6.83 is above the Construction Special Trade Contractors median of 3.14.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $666.74 is above our fair value estimate of $657.10.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 1.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth5/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 15.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 51.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 36.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 57.1% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 22.1% over the last twelve months; the Construction Special Trade Contractors median is 10.2%.
Guidance raised
Emcor raised its full year 2026 Revenues outlook on Jul 30, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 19.6% over the last twelve months, against 19.4% a year earlier.
Past performance6/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 40.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 28.3% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 49.5%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Emcor's return on equity of 40.6% is above the Construction Special Trade Contractors median of -1.8%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 57.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 7.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.4%.
Net margin above the industry
Emcor's net margin of 7.8% is above the Construction Special Trade Contractors median of -7.4%.
Financial health6/6
No debt
Emcor has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Debt not rising
With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.17 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 5.88; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
Emcor paid dividends worth 0.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Emcor yields 0.2%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 4.2% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 4.3% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$657.10
The share price is 1% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 23.1× | 21.1× | 25.1× | $799.41 | 44% |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.8× | 14.6× | 13.0× | $670.45 | 39% |
| Earnings power | 10.4% cost of equity | – | – | $246.48 | 17% |
| Fair value | $657.10 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 21.1
- Construction Special Trade Contractors median 25.1
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $335.26M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $142.84M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 17.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 44%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.06
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.11
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +16.6% | +15.3% | +14.1% | +9.7% | |
| Gross profit | +18.7% | +27.0% | +18.7% | +13.3% | |
| Operating income | +27.4% | +44.8% | +46.2% | +19.6% | |
| Net income | +26.4% | +46.3% | +57.1% | +22.1% | |
| EPS, diluted | +31.0% | +51.5% | +63.7% | +26.3% | |
| Free cash flow | -10.8% | +38.4% | +9.4% | +17.8% | |
| Dividend per share | +7.5% | +22.8% | +25.6% | +12.1% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 12.1% | 6.5% | 38.5% | |
| Return on assets | 4.9% | 2.7% | 15.0% | |
| Current ratio | 1.43 | 1.44 | 1.22 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.27 | 0.13 | – | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | -0.16× | -2.06× | – | |
| Interest coverage | 24.3× | 28.5× | 142.5× | |
| Capex to revenue | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| Diluted shares | 61M | 55M | 45M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Emcor generated $4.43B from operations and spent $2.59B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 14% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 7.5% | 2.00× | 2.57× | 38.5% |
| FY2024 | 6.9% | 2.03× | 2.65× | 37.3% |
| FY2023 | 5.0% | 2.07× | 2.73× | 28.5% |
| FY2022 | 3.7% | 2.02× | 2.59× | 19.2% |
| FY2021 | 3.9% | 1.89× | 2.44× | 17.8% |
| FY2020 | 1.5% | 1.78× | 2.41× | 6.5% |
| FY2019 | 3.5% | 2.06× | 2.35× | 17.1% |
| FY2018 | 3.5% | 2.02× | 2.36× | 16.6% |
| FY2017 | 3.0% | 1.97× | 2.44× | 14.2% |
| FY2016 | 2.4% | 2.05× | 2.44× | 12.1% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$1.27B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$1.30B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year15.2% → 16.5%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$1.30B vs $1.27B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.30 → 1.22
- No dilutionShare count did not rise47M → 45M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year18.98% → 19.33%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose2.20 → 2.20
See a number that looks wrong?