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EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) stock analysis

EMENYSEElectrical WorkFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 29, 2026Score 24/301% above fair value
$666.74+21.35 (+3.31%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $29.19BP/E 19.3Yield 0.15%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth5Performance6Health6Dividend4

Strong24 of 30 checks passed

Emcor passes 24 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
5/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 40.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 28.3% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 49.5%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • No debt

    Emcor has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 57.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 1.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $666.74 is above our fair value estimate of $657.10.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 36.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 57.1% a year.

  • P/B above the industry

    Emcor's price-to-book of 6.83 is above the Construction Special Trade Contractors median of 3.14.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Emcor's P/E of 19.3 is below its own 5-year median of 21.1.

  • P/E below the industry

    Emcor's P/E of 19.3 is below the Construction Special Trade Contractors median of 25.1.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Emcor's EV/EBITDA of 13.7 is below its 5-year median of 14.6.

  • P/B above the industry

    Emcor's price-to-book of 6.83 is above the Construction Special Trade Contractors median of 3.14.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $666.74 is above our fair value estimate of $657.10.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 1.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth5/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 15.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 51.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 36.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 57.1% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 22.1% over the last twelve months; the Construction Special Trade Contractors median is 10.2%.

  • Guidance raised

    Emcor raised its full year 2026 Revenues outlook on Jul 30, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 19.6% over the last twelve months, against 19.4% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 40.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 28.3% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 49.5%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Emcor's return on equity of 40.6% is above the Construction Special Trade Contractors median of -1.8%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 57.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 7.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.4%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Emcor's net margin of 7.8% is above the Construction Special Trade Contractors median of -7.4%.

Financial health6/6
  • No debt

    Emcor has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.17 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 5.88; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Emcor paid dividends worth 0.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Emcor yields 0.2%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 4.2% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 4.3% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$657.10

The share price is 1% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$666.74Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E23.1×21.1×25.1×$799.4144%
EV/EBITDA13.8×14.6×13.0×$670.4539%
Earnings power10.4% cost of equity––$246.4817%
Fair value$657.10100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 21.1
  • Construction Special Trade Contractors median 25.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$335.26M
Value traded per 1% price move
$142.84M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
17.3%
Volatility (annualized)
44%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.06
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.11

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

19.3%+3.5 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

10.1%+7.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

7.5%+6.0 pts over 5 years

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