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Embecta Corp. (EMBC) stock analysis

EMBCNasdaqSurgical & Medical Instruments & ApparatusFiscal year ends September 30
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 7, 2026Score 15/3079% below fair value
$6.53+0.10 (+1.56%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $369.99MP/E 4.4Yield 9.19%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value6Growth1Performance2Health1Dividend5

Solid15 of 30 checks passed

Embecta passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
6/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
1/6
Dividend
5/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 79.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $6.53 is below our fair value estimate of $31.17.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 26.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 4.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -25.9% a year.

What to watch

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 25.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -1.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -25.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 12.0% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

Valuation6/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Embecta's P/E of 4.4 is below its own 5-year median of 10.5.

  • P/E below the industry

    Embecta's P/E of 4.4 is below the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of 27.7.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Embecta's EV/EBITDA of 6.0 is below its 5-year median of 8.9.

  • P/S below the industry

    Embecta's price-to-sales of 0.36 is below the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of 2.82 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $6.53 is below our fair value estimate of $31.17.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 79.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -1.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -25.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 4.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -25.9% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -7.6% over the last twelve months; the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median is 11.0%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Embecta lowered its fiscal year 2026 revenue outlook on May 5, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 59.0% over the last twelve months, against 62.8% a year earlier.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 26.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 25.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 8.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 15.5%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Embecta's net margin of 8.6% is above the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of -14.1%.

Financial health1/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 12.0% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.68 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.33; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend5/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Embecta paid dividends worth 4.9% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 4.9% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Embecta yields 4.9%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 31.1% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 16.5% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$31.17

The share price is 79% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$6.53Price$31.17Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E19.6×10.5×27.7×$28.8644%
EV/EBITDA13.0×8.9×16.7×$39.7539%
Earnings power8.3% cost of equity––$17.3117%
Fair value$31.17100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 10.5
  • Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median 27.7

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$5.41M
Value traded per 1% price move
$2.11M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
66.0%
Volatility (annualized)
82%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.69
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.68

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2019 to 2025

Gross margin

62.6%−7.6 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

22.4%−22.4 pts over 5 years

Net margin

8.8%−30.6 pts over 5 years

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