Embecta Corp. (EMBC) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $369.99MP/E 4.4Yield 9.19%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid15 of 30 checks passed
Embecta passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 6/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 2/6
- Financial health
- 1/6
- Dividend
- 5/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 79.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $6.53 is below our fair value estimate of $31.17.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 26.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 4.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -25.9% a year.
What to watch
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 25.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -1.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -25.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 12.0% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Valuation6/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Embecta's P/E of 4.4 is below its own 5-year median of 10.5.
P/E below the industry
Embecta's P/E of 4.4 is below the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of 27.7.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Embecta's EV/EBITDA of 6.0 is below its 5-year median of 8.9.
P/S below the industry
Embecta's price-to-sales of 0.36 is below the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of 2.82 (book value is negative, so we use sales).
Trading below fair value
The share price of $6.53 is below our fair value estimate of $31.17.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 79.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -1.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -25.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 4.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -25.9% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -7.6% over the last twelve months; the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median is 11.0%.
Guidance lowered
Embecta lowered its fiscal year 2026 revenue outlook on May 5, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 59.0% over the last twelve months, against 62.8% a year earlier.
Past performance2/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 26.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 25.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 8.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 15.5%.
Net margin above the industry
Embecta's net margin of 8.6% is above the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of -14.1%.
Financial health1/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 12.0% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.68 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.33; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend5/6
Pays a dividend
Embecta paid dividends worth 4.9% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield above Treasuries
The 4.9% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Embecta yields 4.9%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 31.1% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 16.5% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$31.17
The share price is 79% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 19.6× | 10.5× | 27.7× | $28.86 | 44% |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.0× | 8.9× | 16.7× | $39.75 | 39% |
| Earnings power | 8.3% cost of equity | – | – | $17.31 | 17% |
| Fair value | $31.17 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 10.5
- Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median 27.7
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $5.41M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $2.11M
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 66.0%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 82%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.69
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.68
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2019 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -3.8% | -1.5% | -0.1% | – | |
| Gross profit | -7.9% | -4.4% | -2.4% | – | |
| Operating income | +45.1% | -7.9% | -13.0% | – | |
| Net income | +21.8% | -24.7% | -25.9% | – | |
| EPS, diluted | +20.9% | -25.3% | -26.4% | – | |
| Free cash flow | +816.6% | -22.3% | -16.8% | – | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | +58.7% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
7 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | 74.4% | -13.7% | |
| Return on assets | – | – | 8.0% | |
| Current ratio | – | – | 2.41 | |
| Debt to equity | – | – | -2.15 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | – | 4.15× | |
| Inventory turnover | – | – | 2.3× | |
| Capex to revenue | – | 3.9% | 0.9% | |
| Diluted shares | – | 57M | 59M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Embecta generated $1.16B from operations and spent $224.50M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 50% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 8.8% | 0.91× | -1.71× | -13.7% |
| FY2024 | 7.0% | 0.90× | -1.60× | -10.0% |
| FY2023 | 6.3% | 0.97× | -1.34× | -8.2% |
| FY2022 | 19.8% | 1.21× | -6.31× | -150.5% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$95.40M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$191.70M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year6.4% → 7.4%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$191.70M vs $95.40M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell121.8% → 127.3%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose2.03 → 2.41
- No dilutionShare count did not rise58M → 59M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year65.46% → 62.64%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.92 → 0.84
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