DexCom Inc (DXCM) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $30.35BP/E 32.0Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Strong22 of 30 checks passed
DexCom passes 22 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 4/6
- Growth
- 6/6
- Past performance
- 6/6
- Financial health
- 6/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 32.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $80.34 is below our fair value estimate of $118.43.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 37.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 23.3% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 78.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
What to watch
P/E above the industry
DexCom's P/E of 31.6 is above the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of 27.7.
P/B above the industry
DexCom's price-to-book of 11.82 is above the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of 3.22.
No dividend
DexCom has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Valuation4/6
P/E below its 5-year median
DexCom's P/E of 31.6 is below its own 5-year median of 79.0.
P/E above the industry
DexCom's P/E of 31.6 is above the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of 27.7.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
DexCom's EV/EBITDA of 19.4 is below its 5-year median of 51.0.
P/B above the industry
DexCom's price-to-book of 11.82 is above the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of 3.22.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $80.34 is below our fair value estimate of $118.43.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 32.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth6/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 17.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 36.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 37.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.8% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 13.0% over the last twelve months; the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median is 11.0%.
Guidance raised
DexCom raised its fiscal year 2026 Revenue outlook on Oct 29, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 63.4% over the last twelve months, against 59.0% a year earlier.
Past performance6/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 37.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 23.3% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 78.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
DexCom's return on equity of 37.7% is above the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of -31.3%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 8.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 19.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 13.6%.
Net margin above the industry
DexCom's net margin of 19.4% is above the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of -14.1%.
Financial health6/6
No debt
DexCom has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Debt not rising
With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 91.3 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.74 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 7.35; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
DexCom has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$118.43
The share price is 32% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 45.0× | 79.0× | 27.7× | $114.30 | 53% |
| EV/EBITDA | 30.0× | 51.0× | 16.7× | $123.14 | 47% |
| Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others | 10.8% cost of equity | – | – | $20.81 | – |
| Fair value | $118.43 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 79.0
- Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median 27.7
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $365.75M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $223.40M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 12.1%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 38%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.10
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.19
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +15.6% | +17.0% | +19.3% | +27.8% | |
| Gross profit | +14.9% | +14.2% | +17.0% | +26.0% | |
| Operating income | +52.0% | +32.6% | +24.9% | – | |
| Net income | +45.1% | +34.8% | +8.8% | – | |
| EPS, diluted | +47.2% | +36.6% | +9.5% | – | |
| Free cash flow | +70.8% | +52.3% | +31.2% | +52.6% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | 45.2% | 34.5% | |
| Return on assets | -18.9% | 16.4% | 13.0% | |
| Current ratio | 2.73 | 5.58 | 1.88 | |
| Interest coverage | -91.3× | 16.9× | 49.8× | |
| Inventory turnover | 4.8× | 3.6× | 3.2× | |
| Capex to revenue | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | |
| Diluted shares | 334M | 420M | 406M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
DexCom generated $4.29B from operations and spent $4.21B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 41% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 17.9% | 0.73× | 2.64× | 34.5% |
| FY2024 | 14.3% | 0.63× | 3.06× | 27.6% |
| FY2023 | 14.9% | 0.62× | 2.78× | 25.8% |
| FY2022 | 11.7% | 0.56× | 2.47× | 16.3% |
| FY2021 | 8.9% | 0.53× | 2.57× | 12.1% |
| FY2020 | 28.5% | 0.58× | 2.75× | 45.2% |
| FY2019 | 6.8% | 0.68× | 2.79× | 13.1% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$836.30M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$1.44B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year9.2% → 12.9%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$1.44B vs $836.30M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.47 → 1.88
- No dilutionShare count did not rise413M → 406M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year60.46% → 60.10%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.64 → 0.72
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