StockData
Deere & Co logo

Deere & Co (DE) stock analysis

DENYSEFarm Machinery & EquipmentFiscal year ends November 1
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Aug 2, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 27, 2026Score 11/3054% above fair value
$691.75+4.11 (+0.60%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $186.51BP/E 38.4Yield 0.92%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth1Performance4Health2Dividend4

Mixed11 of 30 checks passed

Deere passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 18.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 35.1% over five years.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 12.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 42.3% of total debt.

  • Guidance raised

    Deere raised its fiscal 2026 Net income attributable to Deere & Company outlook on Aug 20, 2026.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 54.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $691.75 is above our fair value estimate of $449.06.

  • High debt

    Debt is 61.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -4.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Deere's P/E of 38.4 is above its own 5-year median of 18.8.

  • P/E above the industry

    Deere's P/E of 38.4 is above the Industrial and Commercial Machinery and Computer Equipment median of 27.1.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Deere's EV/EBITDA of 16.7 is above its 5-year median of 11.3.

  • P/B above the industry

    Deere's price-to-book of 6.66 is above the Industrial and Commercial Machinery and Computer Equipment median of 2.71.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $691.75 is above our fair value estimate of $449.06.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 54.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -4.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -7.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -6.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 12.8% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 8.0% over the last twelve months; the Industrial and Commercial Machinery and Computer Equipment median is 10.1%.

  • Guidance raised

    Deere raised its fiscal 2026 Net income attributable to Deere & Company outlook on Aug 20, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 18.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 35.1% over five years.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Deere's return on equity of 18.3% is above the Industrial and Commercial Machinery and Computer Equipment median of 7.0%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 12.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 10.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 13.7%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Deere's net margin of 10.2% is above the Industrial and Commercial Machinery and Computer Equipment median of 4.8%.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 61.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 319% five years ago to 61.1%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 42.3% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term liquidity

    The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.66; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Deere paid dividends worth 0.9% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.9% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Deere yields 0.9%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 36.0% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 29.1% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$449.06

The share price is 54% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$691.75Price$449.06Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E22.9×18.8×27.1×$411.6940%
EV/EBITDA13.7×11.3×16.1×$564.4035%
P/B4.2×5.6×2.7×$433.5110%
Earnings power8.9% cost of equity––$289.9815%
Fair value$449.06100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 18.8
  • Industrial and Commercial Machinery and Computer Equipment median 27.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$748.52M
Value traded per 1% price move
$580.99M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
11.0%
Volatility (annualized)
33%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.25
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.80

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

–

Net margin

11.0%+3.3 pts over 5 years

See a number that looks wrong?