Choice Hotels International Inc (CHH) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $5.32BP/E 26.3Yield 0.97%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed10 of 30 checks passed
Choice Hotels International passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 5/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 147% over the last twelve months and averaged 299% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 13.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 37.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.11; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 34.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $120.01 is above our fair value estimate of $89.22.
High debt
Debt is 1652% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 4.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation0/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Choice Hotels International's P/E of 26.7 is above its own 5-year median of 20.3.
P/E above the industry
Choice Hotels International's P/E of 26.7 is above the Hotels and Motels median of 25.6.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Choice Hotels International's EV/EBITDA of 16.9 is above its 5-year median of 15.0.
P/B above the industry
Choice Hotels International's price-to-book of 41.00 is above the Hotels and Motels median of 2.81.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $120.01 is above our fair value estimate of $89.22.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 34.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 4.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 9.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -46.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 37.5% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 2.1% over the last twelve months; the Hotels and Motels median is 3.9%.
Guidance lowered
Choice Hotels International lowered its Full-Year 2026 Adjusted net income outlook on Aug 5, 2026.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance5/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 147% over the last twelve months and averaged 299% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 13.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Choice Hotels International's return on equity of 147% is above the Hotels and Motels median of 20.0%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 37.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 12.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 21.9%.
Net margin above the industry
Choice Hotels International's net margin of 12.7% is above the Hotels and Motels median of 5.7%.
Financial health2/6
High debt
Debt is 1652% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 9.5% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 3.8 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.26 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.11; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Choice Hotels International paid dividends worth 1.0% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.0% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Choice Hotels International yields 1.0%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 6 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 25.5% of net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$89.22
The share price is 35% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 22.9× | 20.3× | 25.6× | $103.21 | 44% |
| EV/EBITDA | 12.3× | 15.0× | 9.7× | $75.93 | 39% |
| Earnings power | 7.9% cost of equity | – | – | $82.91 | 17% |
| Fair value | $89.22 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 20.3
- Hotels and Motels median 25.6
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $63.31M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $43.89M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 11.9%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 37%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.45
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.61
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +0.8% | +4.4% | +15.6% | +6.4% | |
| Operating income | -3.3% | -2.1% | +29.8% | +7.1% | |
| Net income | +23.5% | +3.7% | +37.5% | +11.2% | |
| EPS, diluted | +27.4% | +9.7% | +42.4% | +13.5% | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | +6.6% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -28.0% | -515.2% | 544.2% | |
| Return on assets | 13.1% | 5.1% | 13.6% | |
| Current ratio | 1.31 | 1.69 | 0.87 | |
| Debt to equity | -2.30 | -184.06 | 10.52 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 3.29× | 5.59× | 3.66× | |
| Interest coverage | 4.2× | 2.5× | 4.9× | |
| Capex to revenue | 3.1% | – | – | |
| Diluted shares | 56M | 56M | 47M |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
Choice Hotels International does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 23.2% | 0.59× | 40.08× | 544.2% |
| FY2024 | 18.9% | 0.64× | -509.18× | -6195.9% |
| FY2023 | 16.7% | 0.69× | 23.64× | 271.7% |
| FY2022 | 23.7% | 0.70× | 9.59× | 158.0% |
| FY2021 | 27.0% | 0.61× | 13.53× | 222.2% |
| FY2020 | 9.7% | 0.52× | -101.63× | -515.2% |
| FY2019 | 20.0% | 0.88× | -12.18× | -215.0% |
| FY2018 | 20.8% | 0.98× | -4.82× | -97.8% |
| FY2017 | 13.0% | 0.99× | -3.05× | -39.2% |
| FY2016 | 13.2% | 0.99× | -2.14× | -28.0% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$369.95M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$270.45M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year12.5% → 14.6%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$270.45M vs $369.95M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell69.9% → 65.3%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.73 → 0.87
- No dilutionShare count did not rise48M → 47M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.66 → 0.63
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