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Choice Hotels International Inc (CHH) stock analysis

CHHNYSEHotels & MotelsFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 2, 2026Score 10/3035% above fair value
$118.28−1.73 (-1.44%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $5.32BP/E 26.3Yield 0.97%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth0Performance5Health2Dividend3

Mixed10 of 30 checks passed

Choice Hotels International passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 147% over the last twelve months and averaged 299% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 13.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 37.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.11; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 34.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $120.01 is above our fair value estimate of $89.22.

  • High debt

    Debt is 1652% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 4.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Choice Hotels International's P/E of 26.7 is above its own 5-year median of 20.3.

  • P/E above the industry

    Choice Hotels International's P/E of 26.7 is above the Hotels and Motels median of 25.6.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Choice Hotels International's EV/EBITDA of 16.9 is above its 5-year median of 15.0.

  • P/B above the industry

    Choice Hotels International's price-to-book of 41.00 is above the Hotels and Motels median of 2.81.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $120.01 is above our fair value estimate of $89.22.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 34.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth0/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 4.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 9.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -46.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 37.5% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 2.1% over the last twelve months; the Hotels and Motels median is 3.9%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Choice Hotels International lowered its Full-Year 2026 Adjusted net income outlook on Aug 5, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 147% over the last twelve months and averaged 299% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 13.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Choice Hotels International's return on equity of 147% is above the Hotels and Motels median of 20.0%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 37.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 12.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 21.9%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Choice Hotels International's net margin of 12.7% is above the Hotels and Motels median of 5.7%.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 1652% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 9.5% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 3.8 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.26 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.11; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Choice Hotels International paid dividends worth 1.0% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.0% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Choice Hotels International yields 1.0%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 6 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 25.5% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$89.22

The share price is 35% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$120.01Price$89.22Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E22.9×20.3×25.6×$103.2144%
EV/EBITDA12.3×15.0×9.7×$75.9339%
Earnings power7.9% cost of equity––$82.9117%
Fair value$89.22100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 20.3
  • Hotels and Motels median 25.6

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$63.31M
Value traded per 1% price move
$43.89M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
11.9%
Volatility (annualized)
37%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.45
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.61

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Operating margin

28.1%+12.4 pts over 5 years

Net margin

23.2%+13.4 pts over 5 years

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