Caleres Inc (CAL) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $464.09MP/E 9.0Yield 2.08%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid18 of 30 checks passed
Caleres passes 18 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 5/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 2/6
- Financial health
- 5/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 42.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $13.45 is below our fair value estimate of $23.51.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 11.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
No debt
Caleres has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 8.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 30.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.04; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
P/E above its 5-year median
Caleres's P/E of 9.0 is above its own 5-year median of 6.6.
Valuation5/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Caleres's P/E of 9.0 is above its own 5-year median of 6.6.
P/E below the industry
Caleres's P/E of 9.0 is below the Consumer discretionary median of 19.6.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Caleres's EV/EBITDA of 4.8 is below its 5-year median of 4.9.
P/B below the industry
Caleres's price-to-book of 0.69 is below the Consumer discretionary median of 2.44.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $13.45 is below our fair value estimate of $23.51.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 42.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 7.3% over the last twelve months; the Consumer discretionary median is 7.2%.
Guidance lowered
Caleres lowered its full-year 2026 interest expense outlook on Sep 9, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 46.2% over the last twelve months, against 44.0% a year earlier.
Past performance2/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 8.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 30.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 11.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Caleres's return on equity of 8.2% is above the Consumer discretionary median of 5.6%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 1.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.2%.
Net margin below the industry
Caleres's net margin of 1.8% is below the Consumer discretionary median of 5.6%.
Financial health5/6
No debt
Caleres has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Debt not rising
With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.11 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.04; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
Caleres paid dividends worth 2.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 2.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Caleres yields 2.1%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 18.0% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 14.1% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$23.51
The share price is 43% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 14.5× | 6.6× | 19.6× | $21.54 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.9× | 4.9× | 9.8× | $21.38 | 35% |
| P/B | 2.1× | 1.6× | 2.4× | $40.75 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 10.9% cost of equity | – | – | $22.26 | 15% |
| Fair value | $23.51 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 6.6
- Consumer discretionary median 19.6
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $5.77M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $2.48M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 22.0%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 64%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.25
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.20
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +1.3% | -2.4% | +5.4% | +39.3% | |
| Gross profit | -3.0% | -2.7% | +8.5% | +1.2% | |
| Operating income | -95.7% | -69.0% | – | -26.3% | |
| Free cash flow | -28.8% | -17.4% | -18.5% | -6.3% | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 10.8% | -103.8% | -1.1% | |
| Return on assets | 4.7% | -20.4% | -0.3% | |
| Current ratio | 1.60 | 0.86 | 1.02 | |
| Interest coverage | 7.0× | – | – | |
| Inventory turnover | -1.7× | 2.4× | 2.7× | |
| Capex to revenue | 55.3% | 0.8% | 2.3% | |
| Diluted shares | 42M | 37M | 33M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Caleres generated $702.21M from operations and spent $449.43M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 52% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | -0.2% | 1.43× | 3.21× | -1.1% |
| FY2024 | 3.9% | 1.47× | 3.19× | 18.5% |
| FY2023 | 6.1% | 1.55× | 3.71× | 34.9% |
| FY2022 | 6.1% | 1.61× | 4.98× | 49.2% |
| FY2021 | 4.9% | 1.50× | 7.15× | 52.8% |
| FY2020 | -20.7% | 0.98× | 5.08× | -103.8% |
| FY2019 | 2.2% | 1.37× | 3.34× | 9.8% |
| FY2018 | -0.2% | 1.70× | 2.46× | -0.8% |
| FY2017 | 3.1% | 1.88× | 2.23× | 13.1% |
| FY2016 | 71.8% | 0.07× | 2.29× | 10.8% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero-$6.69M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$103.18M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year5.9% → -0.4%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$103.18M vs -$6.69M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.10 → 1.02
- No dilutionShare count did not rise34M → 33M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year44.88% → 42.96%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.51 → 1.46
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