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Caleres Inc (CAL) stock analysis

CALNYSEFootwear, (No Rubber)Fiscal year ends January 30
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Aug 1, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Sep 10, 2026Score 18/3043% below fair value
$13.45−0.03 (-0.22%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $464.09MP/E 9.0Yield 2.08%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth2Performance2Health5Dividend4

Solid18 of 30 checks passed

Caleres passes 18 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 42.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $13.45 is below our fair value estimate of $23.51.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 11.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • No debt

    Caleres has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 8.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 30.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.04; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Caleres's P/E of 9.0 is above its own 5-year median of 6.6.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Caleres's P/E of 9.0 is above its own 5-year median of 6.6.

  • P/E below the industry

    Caleres's P/E of 9.0 is below the Consumer discretionary median of 19.6.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Caleres's EV/EBITDA of 4.8 is below its 5-year median of 4.9.

  • P/B below the industry

    Caleres's price-to-book of 0.69 is below the Consumer discretionary median of 2.44.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $13.45 is below our fair value estimate of $23.51.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 42.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 7.3% over the last twelve months; the Consumer discretionary median is 7.2%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Caleres lowered its full-year 2026 interest expense outlook on Sep 9, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 46.2% over the last twelve months, against 44.0% a year earlier.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 8.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 30.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 11.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Caleres's return on equity of 8.2% is above the Consumer discretionary median of 5.6%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 1.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.2%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Caleres's net margin of 1.8% is below the Consumer discretionary median of 5.6%.

Financial health5/6
  • No debt

    Caleres has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.11 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.04; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Caleres paid dividends worth 2.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Caleres yields 2.1%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 18.0% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 14.1% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$23.51

The share price is 43% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$13.45Price$23.51Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E14.5×6.6×19.6×$21.5440%
EV/EBITDA7.9×4.9×9.8×$21.3835%
P/B2.1×1.6×2.4×$40.7510%
Earnings power10.9% cost of equity––$22.2615%
Fair value$23.51100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 6.6
  • Consumer discretionary median 19.6

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$5.77M
Value traded per 1% price move
$2.48M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
22.0%
Volatility (annualized)
64%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.25
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.20

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

43.0%+5.8 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

0.2%+23.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

-0.2%+20.5 pts over 5 years

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