CAE Inc (CAE) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $8.81BP/E 39.8Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak7 of 30 checks passed
CAE passes 7 of the 30 checks behind our score; 16 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 3/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 24.5% of total debt.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 4.4% over the last twelve months; the Electronic and Other Electrical Equipment and Components, except Computer Equipment median is 1.6%.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 28.3% over the last twelve months, against 27.6% a year earlier.
Return on equity above the industry
CAE's return on equity of 6.1% is above the Electronic and Other Electrical Equipment and Components, except Computer Equipment median of -31.2%.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 6.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 3.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 6.2%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
High debt
Debt is 61.0% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 7.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation0/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B against the industry
Needs positive book value.
Price against fair value
We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.
Margin of safety
Depends on the fair value estimate.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 7.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 4.4% over the last twelve months; the Electronic and Other Electrical Equipment and Components, except Computer Equipment median is 1.6%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (fiscal 2027 Cash conversion rate (updated definition), May 21, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 28.3% over the last twelve months, against 27.6% a year earlier.
Past performance3/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 6.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 3.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 6.2%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
CAE's return on equity of 6.1% is above the Electronic and Other Electrical Equipment and Components, except Computer Equipment median of -31.2%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 6.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.5%.
Net margin above the industry
CAE's net margin of 6.4% is above the Electronic and Other Electrical Equipment and Components, except Computer Equipment median of -64.6%.
Financial health2/6
High debt
Debt is 61.0% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 74.9% five years ago to 61.0%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 24.5% of total debt.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 2.7 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.96 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)
Needs market value, working capital and retained earnings.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
CAE has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itWe don't publish a fair value for CAE. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $13.65M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $12.40M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 13.4%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 33%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.11
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.09
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2016 to 2026
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +4.4% | +7.0% | +10.5% | – | |
| Gross profit | +7.0% | +8.7% | +12.7% | – | |
| Operating income | -16.0% | +9.5% | +66.1% | – | |
| Net income | -22.7% | +12.0% | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | -23.6% | – | – | – | |
| Free cash flow | -6.7% | +53.4% | +14.2% | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | -1.7% | 6.1% | |
| Return on assets | – | -0.5% | 2.8% | |
| Current ratio | 1.39 | 1.28 | 0.96 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.64 | 0.75 | 0.61 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | 3.87× | 2.50× | |
| Interest coverage | 4.3× | 0.3× | 2.7× | |
| Inventory turnover | – | 3.5× | 6.7× | |
| Capex to revenue | 8.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | |
| Diluted shares | 270M | 272M | 322M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
CAE generated C$3.08B from operations and spent C$1.54B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 98% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 6.4% | 0.44× | 2.19× | 6.1% |
| FY2025 | 8.6% | 0.45× | 2.31× | 8.9% |
| FY2024 | -7.1% | 0.42× | 2.32× | -7.0% |
| FY2023 | 5.6% | 0.40× | 2.35× | 5.2% |
| FY2022 | 4.2% | 0.37× | 2.56× | 4.0% |
| FY2021 | -1.6% | 0.35× | 3.06× | -1.7% |
| FY2020 | 8.6% | 0.46× | 3.25× | 12.9% |
| FY2019 | 10.0% | 0.51× | 2.84× | 14.5% |
| FY2018 | 12.3% | 0.51× | 2.67× | 16.6% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zeroC$313.10M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zeroC$791.90M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year4.1% → 2.8%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net incomeC$791.90M vs C$313.10M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell27.4% → 26.8%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.80 → 0.96
- No dilutionShare count did not rise320M → 322M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year27.62% → 28.30%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.48 → 0.44
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