Bunge Global SA (BG) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $19.27BP/E 16.9Yield 2.77%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed10 of 30 checks passed
Bunge Global passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 3/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 1/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $100.28 is below our fair value estimate of $108.14.
P/E below the industry
Bunge Global's P/E of 16.9 is below the Food and Kindred Products median of 21.0.
Guidance raised
Bunge Global raised its 2026 Depreciation and amortization outlook on Oct 29, 2026.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 47.4% of net income.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 7.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 7.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
High debt
Debt is 103% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 1.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation3/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Bunge Global's P/E of 16.9 is above its own 5-year median of 9.7.
P/E below the industry
Bunge Global's P/E of 16.9 is below the Food and Kindred Products median of 21.0.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Bunge Global's EV/EBITDA of 10.9 is above its 5-year median of 6.4.
P/B below the industry
Bunge Global's price-to-book of 1.18 is below the Food and Kindred Products median of 2.12.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $100.28 is below our fair value estimate of $108.14.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 7.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 1.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -22.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 55.5% over the last twelve months; the Food and Kindred Products median is 2.7%.
Guidance raised
Bunge Global raised its 2026 Depreciation and amortization outlook on Oct 29, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 5.1% over the last twelve months, against 5.8% a year earlier.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 7.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Bunge Global's return on equity of 7.2% is above the Food and Kindred Products median of 6.6%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 1.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.6%.
Net margin below the industry
Bunge Global's net margin of 1.2% is below the Food and Kindred Products median of 2.7%.
Financial health1/6
High debt
Debt is 103% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -5.7% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.50 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.87; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Bunge Global paid dividends worth 2.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 2.8% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Bunge Global yields 2.8%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 5 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 47.4% of net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$108.14
The share price is 7% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 16.7× | 9.7× | 21.0× | $99.40 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.8× | 6.4× | 13.5× | $107.37 | 35% |
| P/B | 1.8× | 1.2× | 2.1× | $151.76 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 7.4% cost of equity | – | – | $104.14 | 15% |
| Fair value | $108.14 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 9.7
- Food and Kindred Products median 21.0
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $176.94M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $114.27M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 15.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 30%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.04
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.25
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2020 to 2025
Gross margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +32.4% | +1.5% | – | – | |
| Gross profit | +0.5% | -2.5% | – | – | |
| Net income | -28.2% | -20.3% | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | -38.5% | -22.4% | – | – | |
| Dividend per share | +2.9% | +6.5% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
6 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2020 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | – | 6.3% | |
| Return on assets | – | – | 2.4% | |
| Current ratio | – | – | 1.61 | |
| Debt to equity | – | – | 0.88 | |
| Inventory turnover | – | – | 6.8× | |
| Capex to revenue | – | – | 2.4% | |
| Diluted shares | – | – | 166M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Bunge Global generated $14.50B from operations and spent $9.58B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 54% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 1.2% | 2.03× | 2.69× | 6.3% |
| FY2024 | 2.1% | 2.11× | 2.42× | 11.0% |
| FY2023 | 3.8% | 2.38× | 2.49× | 22.3% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$816.00M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$844.00M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year4.5% → 3.3%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$844.00M vs $816.00M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell18.9% → 19.8%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose2.15 → 1.61
- No dilutionShare count did not rise142M → 166M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year6.39% → 4.85%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose2.09 → 2.82
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