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Bunge Global SA (BG) stock analysis

BGNYSEFats & OilsFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 29, 2026Score 10/307% below fair value
$100.28+0.86 (+0.87%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $19.27BP/E 16.9Yield 2.77%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth2Performance1Health1Dividend3

Mixed10 of 30 checks passed

Bunge Global passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
1/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $100.28 is below our fair value estimate of $108.14.

  • P/E below the industry

    Bunge Global's P/E of 16.9 is below the Food and Kindred Products median of 21.0.

  • Guidance raised

    Bunge Global raised its 2026 Depreciation and amortization outlook on Oct 29, 2026.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 47.4% of net income.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 7.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 7.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • High debt

    Debt is 103% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 1.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Bunge Global's P/E of 16.9 is above its own 5-year median of 9.7.

  • P/E below the industry

    Bunge Global's P/E of 16.9 is below the Food and Kindred Products median of 21.0.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Bunge Global's EV/EBITDA of 10.9 is above its 5-year median of 6.4.

  • P/B below the industry

    Bunge Global's price-to-book of 1.18 is below the Food and Kindred Products median of 2.12.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $100.28 is below our fair value estimate of $108.14.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 7.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 1.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -22.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 55.5% over the last twelve months; the Food and Kindred Products median is 2.7%.

  • Guidance raised

    Bunge Global raised its 2026 Depreciation and amortization outlook on Oct 29, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 5.1% over the last twelve months, against 5.8% a year earlier.

Past performance1/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 7.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Bunge Global's return on equity of 7.2% is above the Food and Kindred Products median of 6.6%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 1.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.6%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Bunge Global's net margin of 1.2% is below the Food and Kindred Products median of 2.7%.

Financial health1/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 103% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -5.7% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.50 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.87; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Bunge Global paid dividends worth 2.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.8% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Bunge Global yields 2.8%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 5 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 47.4% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$108.14

The share price is 7% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$100.28Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E16.7×9.7×21.0×$99.4040%
EV/EBITDA10.8×6.4×13.5×$107.3735%
P/B1.8×1.2×2.1×$151.7610%
Earnings power7.4% cost of equity––$104.1415%
Fair value$108.14100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 9.7
  • Food and Kindred Products median 21.0

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$176.94M
Value traded per 1% price move
$114.27M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
15.3%
Volatility (annualized)
30%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.04
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.25

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2020 to 2025

Gross margin

4.8%

Net margin

1.2%

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